Quoted from erak:

Here's a cargument.....
You can drive a Bugatti Veyron with a PC emulator. Petals wheel etc. Bu would you rather have the chance to drive the real thing.

Quoted from benheck:

First off, VR is a fad. A fad that's had billions pumped into it, but a fad nonetheless. The price is too damn high. Even beyond the price, it doesn't fit in with "relaxation". Gamers want to plop in front of their couch or PC and just play. Get up every couple rounds for a beer or piss. At some point we'll be able to "switch off your nervous system enter the Matrix" but that's several decades away.
But pinball is a "world under glass". It can be controlled, and is observed remotely, which means it can be simulated. You don't need goggles. A camera could track your head position and render a display that appears correct to your line of sight. The vibrations you feel on your palms could be simulated by haptic feedback.
Kids used to go outside and play Cops & Robbers, or Cowboys & Indians. Now they don't need to - Call of Duty does a better job of it for them in simulation.
Pinball is ripe for this takeover because it has enormous "price overhead room". Who here has a HD or 4K TV that cost *anywhere near* what a Stern Pro does? A virtual cab could be filled with top-of-the-line parts and still be a cost advantage over a wood & wire traditional machine.

Quoted from Luppin:

Simulation will become better and better, getting closer and closer to the real thing.of course some things are easier to simulate than others: pinball, being a closed world under a glass, is not among the most difficult things for sure. It will take some more decades, and it will never be like the real thing. But when the gap will
Be enough small, virtual will kill the real thing. Of course somebody will still own, play and fix real
Machines. Like somebody these days still travel with horses, just for fun.
Anyway, I think it will take some decades,so in the meanwhile - with existing quite good but not "perfect" simulations - the real things will still rule.
Btw, when technology will be so evolved after many decades, not phisical pinball only will become a thing of the past. Many more important aspects of life will be involved, and probably homo sapiens himself will technologically evolve into something else, togheter with social structures, economics, politics, etc.
In conclusion: i think we will enjoy phisical
Pinball for long time. Prices will not change dramatically, too.
Note: those thoeries on technological evolution, exponential growth, singularity, etc.dates back decades ago. Kurzweil popularized them very successfully. Musk is only reporting them, he certainly did not createany of them.