Quoted from g0nz0:I am a new pinsider just wanting a friendly discussion on the current pricing of pins.
Every newb for the past 20 years has made your predictions (personal
wishes, really) and you've all been wrong.
It's simple supply and demand. The only thing that crashes prices is for masses of individual games to show back up on the market simultaneously and for no one to want them. There's no real scenario where that happen....at least not any time soon. Let's say someone puts up a MM for $2000. What happens? 100 vultures fight over it, it's gone in two seconds, and it doesn't change the market a bit. Someone gets lucky, end of story. I got lucky once and got LOTR for $500. Did that one deal crash the market? Nope.
You compare it to the retro game scene....you shouldn't. A NES isn't $3000 for many reasons. There were 34 million NES systems made. Most pinball machines have a few thousand units. If someone wants to play NES games, they don't need any NES. There are emulators, Retro Pi, clones, FPGA systems, Virtual Console. If you have NES you don't need real carts, you can get an Everdrive.
Pinball's physical mechanical nature prevents it from being replaced by a facsimile. If someone gets the pinball bug - they're gonna want a real machine.