Quoted from bob_e:Those people have never PRE-ORDERED a pinball machine like Predator, Magic Girl, and Alien.
I don't know what this has to do with anything.
Quoted from Brijam:Let's not forget that, at the time of the pre-order weekend, many auto industry insiders and stock analysts didn't think Tesla could launch the Model 3 in December of 2018 let alone December of 2017.
There is a surprising amount of demand out there for electric cars, and it is growing as more people learn about how they actually work. A lot of people think, as some people in this thread do, that an electric car is like a cell phone, and after a year the battery is crap and you have to get rid of it and can't resell it. They point to the resale value of electric cars being so low and say see, there you have it! It's a fad!
Using the Leaf as a quick example, they did have troubles with their first two years (2011-12) and their batteries. They seemed to have fixed this for 2013. As a matter of fact, our 2013 Leaf which we bought used for $7600 has a battery that seems to be a bit of a unicorn - the car has gone 45000 miles so far, and it will have 80+ miles of range on it tomorrow. And that range is legit.
But wait! You bought a $30,000 car that was four years old for $7600! What TERRIBLE resale value! Except that in many states right now (including Wisconsin, which an energy company person pointed out to me actually tonight), you can buy a brand new Nissan Leaf for $13500 after rebates. $7500 tax rebate, $10,000 Energy Company rebate. When you look at it like that, the used Leaf retains a pretty decent amount of it's value...
AND I'll be the first person to tell you, the Leaf is NOT a practical long-range car, and we wouldn't have one if we didn't have a car that we could use for long drives! We had to take our gas cars on trips twice in the last two weeks because they were beyond our range. So, the Leaf is a nice commuter car for a married couple to save some cash with (gas cost saved in five weeks, *including* added electrical cost...$111.33.)
There was a survey just a few weeks ago that said that something like 30% of buyers in the market for a new car were planning to get an electric car next, and it was laughed off by someone from I think AutoTrader who said that they don't see that in their new car searches at all. Well, of course they don't. What realistic options are there?
Tesla is bringing to market a relatively affordable electric vehicle that ticks every box. I've argued before, the Tesla appeal is *all* about the SuperCharger network. I never considered an electric car until I saw that. The new Bolt car has a similar range, but if I'm driving to another state to go ride roller coasters or go to a pinball show, it would take me hours to charge that thing up halfway. No other company has a charging network half as fast as Tesla does, and they made the network so you can go place to place easily. A lot of stock trackers think that because the luxury market is following Tesla's lead and most models are going all electric that they will take over from the Model S because their interiors will be a degree or three nicer, but they don't take into account just how important this network is.
Beyond SuperChargers, the Model 3 is damn fine looking. The range is long enough to cover a decently long day of driving without charging. It has capacity for putting stuff in. People that have rode it says it has comfortable space in it. It has all the hardware needed to make it autonomous. When the day is over, you plug it in like a cell phone and never have to stop at a gas station.
Since we bought our Leaf, I have taken a lot of curious friends and family for rides in it. Almost no one feels they can commit to a Leaf - too short of a range. A lot are seriously interested in a Model 3 (or perhaps another electric car, my uncle was sending me information about the Ioniq EV after I got our Leaf saying he was seriously considering buying one of those next).
Electric vehicles offer some crazy improvements over traditional vehicles, but few companies are poised to get there quickly. Tesla is valued at so much in part because if the demand for the Model 3 isn't fake - and I will be absolutely stunned if it is - Tesla will have a HUGE advantage in that space for years to come.