Quoted from jungle:But getting on for 800 have been supplied. When do you think the new boy here in UK will have made 800 ? I wouldn't take odds of even money on 2 years. Where is his cash flow going to come from ? The machine as it stands needs to be cheap. Is that going to be good business ?
I'll give you 5 that Heighway produces 800 games before 2016. Andrew is a sharp guy and will run a great business. He is making games and going to take money 30-60 days prior to shipment. There is no real preorder model, so he has incentive to move and build games.
Do not confuse yourself on this one. Spooky built 2 games in less than 2 years. there are some very sharp business minded pinball enthusiast, that can operate and run a respectable business. I'm 100% behind companies like Spooky and Heighway. These manufacturers are our hope for progress with $6K games. Stern is Stern and I will continue to support them, but I do not like the lack of code updates. JJP, well unless something changes I'm 100% done with them. The reason Stern LE games are now $8K is because of JJP. I'm not convinced Jack has done that much positive for the hobby besides setting up this ridiculous prepay 1-2 years before release model.
JPOP followed suit and I regret sending him my money. Sooner or later several of us are going to take a big loss on this prepay model when one of these manufacturer's fails to deliver.
I'm happy I'm out on the Hobbit and very nervous about having $6K plus with JPOP right now.
Guys like Heighway and Spooky, I will support and buy games knowing they will not have my $$ for long and that I can live with 50% payment and another 50% when the game is ready. JJP had my WOZ $$ for 2 years before I got a game.
Just not going to do it anymore. I wish the rest of you would do the same. Who really cares if one of the 6-8 pinball companies does not make it? Best of luck to all of them, but if they run a crooked business, any one of them, then they do not deserve to be in business and the marketplace will sort it out. None of them should get a free pass.
Stern, Spooky, Skit-B, Heighway, PPS, JJP, JPOP, dutch Pinball are the 8 players. My guess is they will not all survive. If I were a betting person my $$ goes with Spooky, Stern and Heighway as I like their business model. I'm on the fence with Dutch Pinball, PPS and Skit-B as far as sustainability. Do not get me wrong I like what they are doing, just not sure how it will shake out JJP and JPOP, well I think there business model needs major retooling in several different ways .
Would it really be that bad if we are left with 3-4 solid companies who we all can trust? This hobby cannot sustain 8 manufacturer's of games!! - That's my opinion, but law of averages dictates that these exact 8 will not be here in 5 years.
Enough said its free market and my advice is spend your $ wisely.