So is this a reasonable timeline everyone can agree on, giving Kevin the benefit of the doubt that he had good intentions to begin with? Feel free to fill in any blanks I am missing, or correct anything I have wrong (sources: Emails, PBN, Internet archive):
June 2011: Announced intention to build predator after getting license approval, which apparently was fair use guidelines and not a commercial license.
March 2012: first whitewoods shown, pre-order list is established under the "No money required until production" promise. I got my number 112 5-10-2012.
November 2012: $250 deposites were requested from everyone He also announced many deals with contractors guaranteeing the low price, guaranteeing the final price wouldn't rise. Benefit of the doubt states that he just had no idea what an actual build would cost beyond the parts.
Feb 2013: I was told by Steven Woods, their "Build Manager", told me the code was 100% finished and tested. They later bailed on TPF because, as Kevin told me, "the game is just going through too many changes right now to get it back together in time".
April 2013: Game shows at MPE, art is revealed, Virtual pin announced as cab mfg. Also that month, incentives are announced to try to get people to pre-pay up to the full cost of the machine.
August 2013: I had moved from build spot 99 to 83, so 16 drop outs over the last year or so in the first 100, probably due to the $250 deposit.
October 2013: Disastrous showing at Expo. Duck hunt and sonic side projects were shown. Website was scrubbed of any mention of Predator. This disclaimer was added to their website:
"Absolutely none of the items featured on this site or any of its affiliates are for commercial sale or use unless explicitly stated otherwise.
All images and likenesses used on this site are and remain copyrights of their respective owners."
OBVIOUSLY this is the time the C&D was issued.
Nov. 2013: I asked for my refund, it took multiple emails, excuses about junk folders, and about a month to get my deposit back.
Dec. 2013: Aaron (klumpp) has been removed from the website.
Feb. 2014: Mission complete video, deadline set for first $3k payment.
June 2014: Deadline for full payment. Funhouse 2.0 announced.
July 2014: Game 2, EOD announced.
Dec. 2014: Announcement of bi-weekly emails, Also claimed License was fine.
March 2015: Email 1: Certain parties threaten my very existence, major issues need handling immediately.
Email 2: Project not imploding, Everything moving along despite certain nefarious parties.
Email 3: Apology for silence, I can't build them myself, unnamed experience manufacturer is being contacted, the License wasn't what I thought it was. contact me right away for refunds.
Email 4: sorry, overwhelmed with emails, responding in order we received, will get to your's soon.
Aaron (fast) also revealed that Kevin read to him what he presented as the terms of a license, which Aaron said sounded more like the terms of fair use, in the last 2 weeks.
To me it seems impossible that Kevin's license realization only came in the last 2 weeks.