(Topic ID: 264520)

The official Coronavirus containment thread

By Daditude

2 years ago


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#27600 5 months ago
Quoted from cottonm4:

3 days ago. 11-29-2021 6 o'clock PM
[quoted image]
Yesterday 12-2-2021. 6 o'clock PM
[quoted image]
Just now. 12-3-2021 6 PM
[quoted image]
7,195 people passed on. In 3 days .
We for sure ain't going down.
[quoted image]
[quoted image]

Meanwhile, back at the ranch, we continue to move right along.

Six days later, 800,731 has grown/morphed/mushroomed to 814,438. That's is another 6500 U.S. citizens moving to a new home; After their initial investment, at least the rent will be cheap.

Screen Shot 2021-12-09 at 2.23.53 PM (resized).png

Screen Shot 2021-12-09 at 2.22.19 PM (resized).png

Screen Shot 2021-12-09 at 2.22.31 PM (resized).png

People are not dying in great numbers in any one location. It is 50 people here, 35 over there, 26 over here, 15 over there. That makes it deceptive. People are not dying by the thousands in in one place and we are letting our guard down.

Screen Shot 2021-12-09 at 2.41.25 PM (resized).png

#27601 5 months ago
Quoted from ForceFlow:

That's full of contradictory statements. Basically, everybody is still just offering a bunch of guesses.

I didn’t read it that way (full of contradictions) but I do agree we are still mostly at the hypotheses stage of the game.

I think the basic point being driven at is that omicron is different enough from delta that it’s effective transmission rate is significantly higher, even though the R0 might not be much different.

So, omicron will infect more people faster. Even if it’s effective severity (which is still very much a guess) is less, more people means more problems.

Classic example: A virus with a 100% death rate that spreads very slowly is not as bad as a virus with a 1% death rate that spreads very rapidly.

#27602 5 months ago
Quoted from Trekkie1978:

I was specifically talking about omicron.
Still waiting for the day when some people on here stop inventing words I never said.

What words did I invent? I'm having a conversation here.

I'm also talking about omicron. Even if it's mild (if... IF), we don't know what will happen when a person catches multiple strains.

#27604 5 months ago
Quoted from CrazyLevi:

I just think nobody needs to hear any "this will just disappear" or "looks like it's over!" blind optimism stuff for the 10th time in two years. At this point it just rings hollow, especially when there's hardly any data available to start making proclamations like this. Omicron's been around a week and you are declaring it "the common cold."
Look, we know you want the character dinners back in full force at Disney, without masks ruining your photos with Goofy and Mickey, and we know you never want to be asked ever again to wear a mask in a marathon cattle pen...but unfortunately, you are just gonna have to wait, like all the rest of us, because America is broken and doesn't look like it will be fixed, ever.
As long as 40 percent of this country refuses to get vaccinated or stop getting all of their information and medical advice from crooks, con men, bored youtube incels, and idiots, this shit is just gonna hang around like an unwanted in-law. And you are just gonna have to live with keeping social distance from Snow White.

Talk about useless drivel.

It’s in 38 countries. Not 1 death from omicron. Not 1 person in this country is in the hospital because of it.

Yet…..we have no data…..

You do realize there are 4 different coronaviruses that cause the common cold. It is believed they originated the same way this one has, jumping from animals and causing death until it mutated itself down into the cold.

Amazing how the most so-called pro-science people on this thread post the most anti-science garbage.

#27606 5 months ago
Quoted from Trekkie1978:

Talk about useless drivel.
It’s in 38 countries. Not 1 death from omicron. Not 1 person in this country is in the hospital because of it.
Yet…..we have no data…..
You do realize there are 4 different coronaviruses that cause the common cold. It is believed they originated the same way this one has, jumping from animals and causing death until it mutated itself down into the cold.
Amazing how the most so-called pro-science people on this thread post the most anti-science garbage.

-1
#27607 5 months ago
Quoted from Trekkie1978:

So when I specifically talk about something, it means I’m ignoring everything else??? That’s ridiculous.

This statement is absolute horse crap coming from you. I invite you to read over your voluminous examples of the exact same thing in this thread.

#27608 5 months ago

Death rate vs vaccination rate at county level from June thru now (delta wave proxy).

“Fully” Vaccinated assumes two doses for mRNA or 1 dose JnJ. (My opinion is we shouldn’t consider anything less than boosted as fully vaccinated anymore but I take what I can get pretty chart wise).

Also included case rate vs vaccine rate. Author used same data and methodology.

The big outlier blob is Miami-Dade county which has some data issues.

21F38969-D6E6-4482-AFE9-0600B8E28A43.jpeg8E37F2F7-1474-4DD0-A806-460C0144460B.jpegD94C79DD-71A4-4596-8F40-7F9B62E2FF95.jpeg
#27609 5 months ago

Based on s gene drop out testing…Scotland is predicting Omicron will overtake Delta & become dominant before Christmas.

1% last week Nov
2% Sunday 5th Dec
4% Tuesday 7th

Doubling time 2-2.5 days
R to go above 2

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-59610582

https://www.gov.scot/publications/omicron-scotland-evidence-paper/
37CFE0A4-C4E2-4732-AE80-E7F097E70B88.jpeg

#27610 5 months ago

This will be blown off given the source but it seems to confirm that we aren't really done with Delta yet... https://www.cnn.com/2021/12/09/us/hospital-covid-19-deaths-michigan/index.html

#27613 5 months ago

My wife has a cold and decided to get tested even though she is double vaxed. Result came back positive for covid. My test is next . Fuck Covid and the devil ill beat your ass

#27615 5 months ago

A new mask mandate was issued today state-wide for NY to "combat the winter surge", which will go into effect Monday 12/13:

Businesses with public spaces must either require everyone to wear masks, or require everyone to be vaccinated. In other words, if businesses check for proof of vaccination status, masks are optional for vaccinated individuals. If they don't check, masks are required for everyone, regardless of status.

This mandate will be in effect until 1/15, and at that point, it will be re-evaluated.

https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/coronavirus/hochul-new-mask-mandate-for-all-indoor-venues-starts-monday/3443925/

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/ny-mask-mandate-indoor-spaces

https://www.businessinsider.com/ny-gov-kathy-hochul-reinstates-statewide-indoor-mask-mandate-omicron-2021-12

Up until this, masks were only required for unvaccinated individuals, but was basically on the honor system in most places.

-1
#27616 5 months ago
Quoted from DaveH:

This statement is absolute horse crap coming from you. I invite you to read over your voluminous examples of the exact same thing in this thread.

Not horse crap.

More proof that words are just invented.

#27617 5 months ago

The last couple of years must be a good time to be in the casket business.

Today, another 1,300 are on the other side of life.

#27618 5 months ago
Quoted from cottonm4:

The last couple of years must be a good time to be in the casket business.
Today, another 1,300 are on the other side of life.

Will the casket bubble burst?!

10
#27619 5 months ago
Quoted from Trekkie1978:

Not horse crap.
More proof that words are just invented.

If everyone misunderstands you, rather than get angry at them, have you tried reflecting on your own messaging and choice of words to try and do better?

#27620 5 months ago
Quoted from cdnpinbacon:

My wife has a cold and decided to get tested even though she is double vaxed. Result came back positive for covid. My test is next . Fuck Covid and the devil ill beat your ass

Don’t stress, it’s not good for you, and odds are overwhelmingly in both your favors. Your vaccinated.

#27621 5 months ago

Not to beat a dead horse, but here is a more visual way to envision slow and deadly vs fast and mild.

2507830D-ADB0-46E1-9006-F04CEF1C3A03.jpeg9EDCBD21-031D-49F8-803E-F547CD92B19F.jpeg
#27622 5 months ago
Quoted from cottonm4:

The last couple of years must be a good time to be in the casket business.
Today, another 1,300 are on the other side of life.

In 2017, an average of 7,708 deaths occurred each day.

This was a US stat, not worldwide.

https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/68/wr/mm6826a5.htm

Cotton, was your number excess? Or Covid only / with Covid?

-4
#27623 5 months ago
Quoted from roffels:

If everyone misunderstands you, rather than get angry at them, have you tried reflecting on your own messaging and choice of words to try and do better?

When I specifically talk about omicron. And the response I get is that I'm ignoring delta...maybe it isn't me, but rather the people who can't deviate from their own narrative.

Remember, I was told that the NYC marathon would be a super spreader event...looks like not one person got sick from it.

#27624 5 months ago
Quoted from Trekkie1978:

When I specifically talk about omicron. And the response I get is that I'm ignoring delta...maybe it isn't me, but rather the people who can't deviate from their own narrative.
Remember, I was told that the NYC marathon would be a super spreader event...looks like not one person got sick from it.

Speaking about people not deviating from their own narrative, you've posted about marathons 24 times in this thread.

#27625 5 months ago
Quoted from Trekkie1978:

.maybe it isn't me, but rather the people who can't deviate from their own narrative.

Quoted from DaveH:

[quoted image]

#27626 5 months ago
Quoted from Trekkie1978:Remember, I was told that the NYC marathon would be a super spreader event...looks like not one person got sick from it.

How can we forget!

"Looks Like" does not constitute a fact.

There is no way to know.
You present this as a medical data fact Repeatedly.

-3
#27627 5 months ago
Quoted from roffels:

Speaking about people not deviating from their own narrative, you've posted about marathons 24 times in this thread.

I was told it would be a super spreader event.

Still waiting for the “adults” to admit they were wrong.

-2
#27628 5 months ago
Quoted from OLDPINGUY:

How can we forget!
"Looks Like" does not constitute a fact.
There is no way to know.
You present this as a medical data fact Repeatedly.

There hasn’t been 1 report from 1 race, where someone caught Covid.

Zero. Nada. Zip.

#27629 5 months ago
Quoted from Trekkie1978:

There hasn’t been 1 report from 1 race, where someone caught Covid.
Zero. Nada. Zip.

How would they know if they caught it from another?
Or people watching?

Because there is no way to prove or disprove it.

No one ever caught Covid visiting Disney World as a statement.
Can anyone PROVE otherwise? Come on.....

I appreciate your input, but your view is for YOU, and we should respect that.
It does Not mean those that disagree arent thinking of others.

When will You admit you dont have any data to request others validate your opinion as fact?

#27630 5 months ago
Quoted from Trekkie1978:

I was told it would be a super spreader event.

By whom?

#27631 5 months ago
Quoted from Trekkie1978:

I was told it would be a super spreader event.
Still waiting for the “adults” to admit they were wrong.

Who said it would be a super spreader event? Can you provide a quote? Still waiting for you to provide a quote of someone being pro lockdown over the past month as well. You have a real knack for arguing points you make up out of thin air.

How’s that case count take you had a month ago holding up btw?

#27632 5 months ago
Quoted from RonSS:

In 2017, an average of 7,708 deaths occurred each day.
This was a US stat, not worldwide.
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/68/wr/mm6826a5.htm
Cotton, was your number excess? Or Covid only / with Covid?

That is interesting.

I know the numbers do not always agree from one website to another but I keep it simple and consistent, and stay with the website that brought me to the dance.

So, yesterday another 1574 people died. We now total 817,326 deaths.

Screen Shot 2021-12-11 at 8.39.01 AM (resized).png

My GF and I were talking about all the deaths from heart disease and diabetes, etc.

Here are some stats on heart disease deaths in the US. The numbers are quite high. But we live with it and go on with life. The big difference with all of these other killers is that they are not contagious. I have had 5 family members die of cancer. I went and visited all of them in the hospitals and held their hands as they were suffering and dying.

Cancer is not contagious so no special precautions are needed to visit a cancer patient, etc. ( I was a smoker back then and my dad was dying of lung cancer. And I would sit with him in his hospital room as we burned one Marlburo after another. It was too late for him so no point in quitting, and I was a nicotine slave at the time. And yes, hospitals had ashtrays for the smokers back then in 1988 ).

We cannot do that with Covid. Hell, we cannot even go visit our dying loved ones.

Screen Shot 2021-12-11 at 9.03.51 AM (resized).png

Your study is for 2017. I will like to see how 2020 and 2021 average out for daily deaths.

I did some playing around with the numbers.

Using standard business practice of 360 days per year.

7,708 per day average x 360 = 2,774,880 total deaths + (817,000 Covid deaths/2 years)/360 = 2,774,880 + 408,500= 3,183,380 deaths per year/360

3,183,380/360 = 8,842 deaths per day average when Covid deaths are included with the 2017 daily deaths number.

7708 * 12% = 924. 924 + 7708 = 8632. So, using these numbers, Covid has increased the 2017 daily death rate by a little more than 12%.

12% is a huge increase ! 12% dividend payout ratios makes Wall Street investors drool. Most retailers would be on the moon for a 12% pretax profit margin.

https://www.vendhq.com/blog/increase-profit-margins/

Screen Shot 2021-12-11 at 9.27.14 AM (resized).png

This is just simple arithmetic and will not be accurate. But it would be interesting to see how it matches up with real data from the CDC in a couple of years.

#27633 5 months ago

Yes, who is it causing all these "I was told" statements?

straw man.gif

#27634 5 months ago
Quoted from Trekkie1978:

There hasn’t been 1 report from 1 race, where someone caught Covid.
Zero. Nada. Zip.

Just making sure I'm keeping up ... If we cut back on social distancing and masking, and everyone ran a marathon maskless, we could stop covid in its tracks?

#27635 5 months ago
Quoted from ForceFlow:

A new mask mandate was issued today state-wide for NY to "combat the winter surge" ... Up until this, masks were only required for unvaccinated individuals, but was basically on the honor system in most places.

I've never understood the whole "honor system" thing. It makes no sense. The overlap between people that are not vaccinated and people that would voluntarily wear a mask is practically nonexistent. It should either be that everyone has to wear a mask or no one has to wear a mask.

#27636 5 months ago
Quoted from Trekkie1978:

They also cut the amount of runners from 52,000 down to 33,000.

Quoted from cottonm4:

Sounds like a super spreader event.

Quoted from Trekkie1978:

I was told that the NYC marathon would be a super spreader event

Quoted from Trekkie1978:

I was told it would be a super spreader event.

I’ll help Trekkie out here. I even added context. This is similar to how he was accusing me of giving medical advice… on a pinball board… on the internet(!). He was unable to distinguish that from actual medical advice. In this case ONE person said it “sounds like” it could be, and the context was that they were massively cutting the field due to the pandemic. He took that as an iron clad stake in the ground that everyone voted was true. We must be persecuting marathons.

Simple facts. There is a pandemic. It is caused by a respiratory virus. It spreads person to person through breathing in droplets from an infected person. You should do what you can to prevent that from happening. I finally had time to decorate the house. Merry Christmas!

#27637 5 months ago
Quoted from RTR:

Yes, who is it causing all these "I was told" statements?

They

1142735e-e2c9-4a3b-a090-8bda7a1e1ca0_text.gif
#27638 5 months ago
Quoted from gweempose:

I've never understood the whole "honor system" thing. It makes no sense.

Look at all the heat the mandate has taken. State Supreme Courts are knocking mandate down.

But forget the mandate. Witness the few people who have been killed for trying to enforce mask wearing in a store.

How would you enforce everyone to wear a mask? Most retailers don't make enough money to hire armed security guards at every door. And moving the stock boy to guard duty at the door will not work.

Most of the stores I go into now have all employees making up. Employees are the captive audience. Most of the customers walk in and do not bother with a mask.

What should be done? Calling in the National Guard is not a practical option.

About the only thing that could be done, IMO, is for some cities to start citing mask-less people and locking them up in jail for a few days. That might help some. But we are the land of the free; It is China that is locking people up.

So, how should we mask wearing?

#27639 5 months ago
Quoted from JodyG:

I am going to bookmark this thread for the next time I need an example of the Dunning-Kruger effect for someone.

What is the dunning Kruger effect?
Like I know what this is.

You're so smart

#27640 5 months ago

Todays paper in Lancaster, Pa.

FCB25AD5-FC08-4971-A8C6-1857ECEA7723 (resized).jpeg
#27641 5 months ago

"NO ROOM" and yet "CAUTION THROWN TO THE WIND"

Geez. 'Murica.

If you're stuck in a place where nobody is doing anything right (or not!), deploy air filter systems and homemade DIY box fan MERV 13 filter cubes with reckless abandon. Coway AP-1216L and Coway Airmega 300/400 are my favorite retail products.

Corsi-Box-Filter-Completed-1024x986 (resized).jpg

For DIY, build the cube like this: https://www.texairfilters.com/a-variation-on-the-box-fan-with-merv-13-filter-air-cleaner/

Upgrade the baffle too: https://www.texairfilters.com/how-to-improve-the-efficiency-of-the-box-fan-and-merv-13-filter-air-cleaner/

Way easier than shopping out a pin. Do eet. Give some to your schools too.

#27642 5 months ago
Quoted from gweempose:

I've never understood the whole "honor system" thing. It makes no sense. The overlap between people that are not vaccinated and people that would voluntarily wear a mask is practically nonexistent. It should either be that everyone has to wear a mask or no one has to wear a mask.

It's a compromise, but it's not a great one.

To avoid confrontations and the extra effort and the navigation of legal issues for businesses/organizations to do mask/vaccination enforcement, the onus is placed on the individual to exercise their own judgement on when to wear a mask.

I agree, from a health perspective, it's pretty ineffective, especially since it's the anti-mask/anti-vax crowd that is generally going to be non-compliant and also the ones responsible for spreading covid in most situations.

So, since NY has rising infection rates, hospitals are filling up with covid patients again, and since the holidays are likely to be a super spreader event, it seems the acting governor made the decision to enact a mask mandate.

However, mandates are being fought in court cases in various other locales/states, so it's unclear if this mandate will stand for any length of time or be struck down by the courts.

#27643 5 months ago

I shit myself when I was in bed waking up. I just shit myself now. If you shit yourself so bad you have to throw away your underwear , you may have covid.

#27645 5 months ago

Thanks for cheering me up forceflow!

#27646 5 months ago
Quoted from NicoVolta:

"NO ROOM" and yet "CAUTION THROWN TO THE WIND"
Geez. 'Murica.
If you're stuck in a place where nobody is doing anything right (or not!), deploy air filter systems and homemade DIY box fan MERV 13 filter cubes with reckless abandon. Coway AP-1216L and Coway Airmega 300/400 are my favorite retail products.
[quoted image]
For DIY, build the cube like this: https://www.texairfilters.com/a-variation-on-the-box-fan-with-merv-13-filter-air-cleaner/
Upgrade the baffle too: https://www.texairfilters.com/how-to-improve-the-efficiency-of-the-box-fan-and-merv-13-filter-air-cleaner/
Way easier than shopping out a pin. Do eet. Give some to your schools too.

Good stuff Nico ..thx for sharing

12
#27647 5 months ago

Seriously. Usually, some bullshit like this is at least accompanied by a screen shot or two.

Trekkie continually invents enemies out of thin air, and then argues with them. It’s tiresome.

#27649 5 months ago

Anti-vaxologist and televangelist Marcus Lamb has finally stopped spouting Covid vaccine conspiracy theories and alternative therapies. I wonder how many of his followers died from taking his advice? According to his family, Covid didn't kill him. The Devil did it.

At least he can't be considered a hypocrite, he was apparently unvaccinated and died with Ivermectin on board. Many of the platformed anti-vaxxers are actually vaccinated and insist on more proven Covid remedies when the shit hits the fan.

https://www.comicsands.com/marcus-lamb-televangelist-dies-covid-2655909251.html

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