I will buy one when:
1.I've had a chance to actually play one.
2.When NIB buyers start to sell in the secondary market.
3.It's gotta play great.
JJP is playing a little financial game to make this stance tougher. Right now, the standard edition is $8k and LE is $8.5k. When they start manufacturing, each will bump up $500.
If history is a guide, it will be a long time before any volume hits the secondary market. There are a few WOZ on the market, but most are asking purchase price (who knows what they are getting for them). Plus JJP has just raised the price for WOZ by $500 - I keep wondering what their sales / price curve looks like. I would think that the $500 increase would crash demand for an aging title. Maybe they don't care as they are ushering a new one out the door.
Those that got in early on WOZ can sell theirs likely at a profit. Those that buy WOZ today may lose some money in the resale market in the short term.
I keep wondering if it is reasonable to put $$ into this company by making a pre-manufacturing Hobbit purchase. They have lined up a group of new investors. That speaks well for viability. But new investors also may mean a change in direction for the company, for good or bad. WOZ is a packed playfield, while The Hobbit is much more open. Is that a move to save production costs? Or a valid design decision?
That they missed their shipping target by over a year on their second game, does not speak well for management.
As to buy on the secondary market, I am tired of waiting to see which pins work out to be great games, then find that the secondary market is higher in cost than the NIB was. The ones that drop in value are less desired (ex: CSI). As a NIB buyer, one rolls the dice to see what your NIB pin will do after purchased. It is a hell of a risk to spend that much money on a pin that one has never played.