Quoted from flynnibus:
I think people saying the 40 games would cover the settlement was happy suggestive inference by some people.
It was inference started by Barry himself in the newsletter. It was also pretty strongly reinforced by posts in the private thread by unigroove and rensh - two people that Barry tells information to as a means to get it released on pinside.
Here is the excerpt from the newsletter:
" ... The settlement we agreed upon means that we have to pay off ARA, and in return we will receive everything Dutch Pinball related that ARA has stored in their warehouse: A number of finished and unfinished games and the complete inventory of parts. Besides that, the court case will be voided and this means there will be no more legal issues that prevent us from continuing our business and start building games again; first The Big Lebowski™ Pinball of course, and hopefully many more beautiful games in the future!"
Then the news that the hostage games were to be sold through CT, with the proceeds going to ARA, was released at approximately the same time. The way the NSNL letter was worded was like an if/then - if they sell all 40 games at $12,500 and the proceeds go to ARA, then the court case is voided, the parts for 100 games are DP's property again, DP is back in business, etc. Not out of the realm of possibilities - this would have been a haircut for ARA, but that happens. Now we know who is really in the barbers chair.
Then today's 'news' from a podcast that says Barry's debt is not resolved by the 40 hostage games. Now the news is the parts for 100 more games, once assembled, will be used to "pay the remaining ARA debt and get DP into the black prior to the building of any EA games". It doesn't say if 50 of those games will pay the ARA debt or if 99 will. It does say that EA's are out of luck on those 100 games.
I get that Barry did not give enough information in the original NSNL. My point is that pinbarry has an infuriating way of telling a small part of the story that sounds good, but then dribbles the bad parts out over time.