We can speculate all we want, but some of you refuse to accept that it all boils down to the payment terms that were agreed upon between DP and ARA.
I can't speak for ARA, Xytech, or pinball manufacturing in general, but in Chinese electronics manufacturing, a 30% deposit with 70% payment after QC inspection pass is a pretty common (and fair) agreement. Depending on the product and buyer, one could negotiate that deal calling for a lower deposit upfront or for the remaining payment to be paid only after the product has actually shipped. A lower risk term could be 20% deposit, 50% payment after production/QC inspection, and the remaining 30% after delivery to whatever designated countries. One last option that really favors the buyer would be agreeing to no initial deposit with 100% payment two months after shipment. It all boils down to the product itself, your ability to scale future business (product), your company's "track record," and the risk that CM is willing take on you. If you're a company like Apple or Samsung, you can pretty much dictate your own terms and make the CM your beeyatch (which they do). My point here is that no matter the terms, a standard CM agreement almost always requires payment at the tail-end of the process.
There are some nasty CMs who will see a "mark" walk into the door and intentionally not make them pay for program costs such as tooling and software dev (the latter is not applicable in DP's particular case). This gives the CM complete leverage when it comes time to manufacture. The CM can hike the price, not meet your deadlines/quantities, and screw you over on quality control. This is also how they snag ownership of your prototypes and tooling, which is completely legal.
ARA wouldn't stop production over payment unless it had DP by the balls. There weren't any major quality issues that we know of, so what else could possibly halt production & shipment of games besides a monetary dispute?
If I'm not mistaken, ARA still has the BoP25 prototype in their possession. Wasn't this being developed at ARA? If so, it may explain why they're holding the prototype hostage. It appears from afar that DP most likely built the TBL engineering samples on a "pay as you go" purchase order basis. DP claimed awhile back that ARA still has a lot of parts in the factory to build 300 TBLs (including the $100K DP spent on P3-ROCs), but they never disclosed whether they actually paid for all the other parts for those 300 games. Why would DP bounce on ARA if they paid for all the parts?
Clearly, there's outstanding payment(s) owed to ARA. Can you fault them? They have bills to pay too.
If DP had a leg to stand on, they would have disputed the $1K cost increase. DP claims that ARA also delayed start of production, but isn't that what a contract is for? If they were smart, they would have dictated and enforced production start/finish dates and accessed penalties had those targets not been met. The same applies to the final unit price. I would've told ARA to fock themselves and then immediately taken legal action against them. A decent attorney would've have advised them to do the same. If the contract was clean and sound, DP would have nothing to worry about. Instead, DP chose not to take action, which in my eyes, makes them suspect (guilty). They then ran off to a different supplier. Were they really that naive to believe that it wouldn't catch up to them?
Based on my experience, companies who prematurely bail on their CM are short on cash. I know of an audio company who did this last year. Passive speakers should have a shelf life of 5-10+ years. They obviously owed their CM a lot of money because they were forced to redesign and reintroduce their entire speaker assortment with a new CM only after 3 years of shelf life. Why? Because the original CM owned their tooling and/or design based on a JDM partnership. Again, this is one of the drawbacks of cost-savings in the early stages of development. It frees up some of your capital in the beginning stages, but that can come back to haunt you later on.
If DP agreed to cough up the extra $1K on the unit price, they should have put this revised agreement in writing to prevent this mess they created. There would have been no misunderstandings. If everything was kosher, DP would have paid up, production would have resumed, and those 40 units would have shipped in 2016. ARA rightfully wanted to get paid and DP didn't come through. Do you really believe ARA wants to get into the full-time pinball manufacturing business? Give me a break! I also do not believe ARA wants to bankrupt DP. There's no incentive for them to do so, unless it's a last resort to squeeze a dry turd. This is DP's first stab at pinball manufacturing, and unfortunately, they're learning valuable business lessons along the way (at our expense). They're a tiny roach to ARA in the grand scheme of things. As I posted/proved yesterday, you can successfully crowdfund millions of dollars in capital for a new innovative widget or product, but if you don't know what you're doing, you can deplete all that money in no time before you manufacture your first unit. Rookie mistakes hurt the CM just as much as they hurt you.
In summary, put yourself in the shoes of ARA as a business owner. It's like a pawn shop. If you don't come back to pay what they loaned or fronted you (+ interest) by a certain date, they rightfully keep your item. Based on what I've seen here, a few of you would be more than willing to put your business and livelihood on the line for DP. I wish these people would put down the Kool-Aid and start drinking water.