Quoted from Whysnow:However, my WAG actually:
1. looks at the numbers claimed to be sold by distributors
OK. If you WAG looks at the numbers why are you having such a problem laying out the numbers you claim to see to bolster your position?
Give us some numbers, man.
Quoted from Whysnow:It really does not take much common sense to come to this accurate conclusion. If these golds are selling like gangbusters, where the hell have they gone to, lol. Some mysterious pool of NIB pinball buyers?
ASOA's WAG is that he is a distributor without bias... Keep in mind he wont tell us any actual data like how many he bought, how many he has sold, what prices he sold his diamond and platinums for and now what the golds are selling/ not-selling for.
ASOA'S information would be considered proprietary, would it not? Perhaps Stern (a private company) , for whatever reason advises distributors to not talk about the numbers publicly. There is certainly no law that saying this can't happen.
And about the pool of NIB buyers, how many Beatles have been sold, to date, at The Beatles Store. 5? 10? 20? A lot? A few? As of this time, I don't recall anybody coming here to pinside saying they bought their copy from The Beatles Store. All we know when we visit The Beatles Store is at all 3 models are sold out for $10,000.00 each. How much is true and how much is BS? Again, we need numbers.
Quoted from Whysnow:I just think it is important that there is a voice of reality to counter the salesman pitches from some on here with the constant hype train.
Until you can bring some baseline numbers, I'm not sure I could be generous enough to consider you the voice of reality. Matter of fact, other than a couple of distributors that are here, I can't say I recall too many Stern sales reps coming to Pinside making pitches and breathlessly telling me I just have to buy one of these right now ! I do see the Beatles sale ads in the marketplace. You can ask me why this does not surprise me.
Quoted from Whysnow:I dont want to see any of my fellow hobbyists fall for the fake hype. Beatles is a fun game, but priced much too high and the sales mirror that conclusion.
I would like to thank you for taking up the mantle to save me from myself; That is very altruistic of you. But somehow, I just cannot shake the thought that you are hoping to scare potential buyers away in an effort to collapse sales and prices you can slip in a sneak a few on the cheap. Everything you write is just screaming, "I want one of these so frigging bad".
BTW: What is "fake hype" ? If the vernacular for hype is BS, what is fake BS? Is that something like the dishonest truth, as opposed to the honest truth? Which leads to question of what is lacking in just using "truth" and "hype" to make a point. ??
This paltry collection of numbers is only what you can see. How do you/will account for some pinsiders who keep their collections private? How many of those type of buyer/owners are on pinside with tight lips? And don't forget any numbers from The Beatles Store sales. And don't blow off buyers who make their purchase and just disappear. Some people are not interested in mixing it up
Quoted from Whysnow:Thinking of buying the game? awesome! just please understand the difference of salesguy hype and the reality of how many are sitting in back stock.
Damn! Those numbers just don't want to come. Do they? How many are sitting in back stock? That would definitely be a good bargaining chip to know.
Don't tell me what you think. Don't tell me what you feel. And and don't tell me what you believe. You think the moon is made of green cheese. You feel the moon is made of green cheese. And you believe the moon is made of green cheese. It's a free country. But I'm interested in what you know. Like numbers. That's something I can get behind.
By definition, you believe in something that cannot be proved. If I see two people and one is wearing a watch and the other is not, which one do you think I will be asking for the time? I'll take the guy who can look at his watch and tell me it is 12:33pm. All the other guy can do is tell me, " I believe it is around noon".
Quoted from Whysnow:I believe that Stern is running some more in Jan because there are surely some distributors with customers that want this game and those distributors did not buy in for the first run for the 10 pack.
Again, I don't care what you believe; Tell me what you know. Also, this statement contradicts everything you have been saying. First, you tell us that sales are abysmal but offer no proof, only conjecture.
But here you are saying," because there are surely some distributors with customers that want this game and those distributors did not buy in for the first run for the 10 pack."
Well, knock me over with a feather. Here are some new sales popping up by some people who are arriving late to the party. Imagine that. Here you are saying some new sales are coming on. Now, i'm not sure what to believe So, which is it? Are sales falling off a cliff? Or are new sales prospects coming on wanting to buy? You can't have it both ways.
You also preface your statement with "there are surely some distributors". Surely? How did you come up with "surely" ? How many distributors fall into your "surely" category? Here I am looking for numbers again. How many distributors fall into this...ah.. "surely" category? What makes you so sure there are any at all?
Quoted from Whysnow:The reality is that Stern sells on hype to distributors and they in turn sell on hype.
Stern does not care if distributors are stuck with stock on a 10 pack and that shows as they run more games for new distro orders instead of telling Distros to sell their back stock to each other.
Define the "hype" that Stern uses on its distributors, please. What kind of BS is it your distributor friends told you that Stern shovels at them? Are they getting the old, "you better shape up" stuff from Stern?
When in business, there is a lot of BS. A lot of confidence gaming going on. When you are in business, business is always good; Even when it not. Like the song says, "nobody wants you when you are down and out", and singing the blues. It's kind of like when you are not dating anybody. Here is your single self and you can't buy a date with a winning lotto ticket. But as soon as you do manage to get a girl to go out with you, here come all of her friends followed by a bevy of strange women just dying to go out with you. Everybody loves a winner.
People don't want to be the only one to buy this model of car that you can't move, but if you say you have sold 8, or 10, or ?? in the last two weeks, well that is what they now want to buy. So, yeah, there is hype. There is BS in sales. The toothpaste commercials will tell you their brand will make your teeth whiter; They won't tell you their brand will make your teeth white. So, you brush your teeth and see that your 9 shades of yellow have moved up the "whiter" scale to 8.9. There is hype in business. Deal with it.
This statement, "as they run more games for new distro orders instead of telling Distros to sell their back stock to each other."
That's a fool's errand. Distributors selling stock back to each other would amount to a bonanza for the shippers, don't you think? If I were a distributor and a fellow distro wanted me to take some inventory of his hands, someone is going to have to pay for the shipping to the 2nd destination and it ain't going to be me.