Thanks to chuckwurt and HurryUpPinball for your videos and tips on dialing this game in. I got the burn it back loop hitting the flipper perfect as well as left orbit rejects that wouldn't make the ramp, both are returning nicely to the left flipper.
The issue i was still having was when the ball was being released from the mystery shot near the post, the ball would hit the top or the middle of the sling.
What I noticed was that the ball would kind of drop from the area where the post is, and ping pong a little/bounce a bit near the guide rail so the ball wouldn't roll smoothly down the guide to the flipper.
I found a very small thin rubber foot that i had, kind of like a small furniture pad and put it right above the circle where the metal rail is where the ball comes out to sorta push the pinball to the guide rail instead of falling and ping ponging. This actually worked amazingly, the ball now gets pushed out of that area to the guide rail as expected.
See before and after pictures. Since it is aligned inside near the orbit, other shots do not hit it.
Red arrows showing where the ball would go before and after.
Before
After