Hey guys, I haven't had room for new pins for quite some time, so I have an extra 50k in my account. I've never invested in stocks (I prefer real estate), but I'd like to try to capitalize on the downturn. I'm not a fan of long term as I don't trust the market in general. I think these bubbles and corrections are going to become more frequent, and after 2008, I don't trust corporate and government influence.

Anyway, here are my preliminary plans.

1. My theory is that the best time to get in will be when USA infections decrease for the first time. There will be false spikes that would be risky to play before this, so I'll be avoiding them.

2. My guess is that there will be two phases for capitalization. The first will be companies that are an immediate need when society starts up again, then the slower gainers. The plan: gain from phase one, pull cash, dump into phase 2. Pull cash, throw party.

3. My prediction is that the average schmuck (me) will miss the first spike because Insider speculators will create it. But there will still be a lot of room for profit.

Here are some tentative investments I'm considering:

Phase one:
Uber - people need to get around
Netflix - hopefully it will go down. Doubt it.
Starbucks - habit/addiction purchase

Phase two:
Telecoms - habit/needs
Airlines - habit - way of life - status
Banks - print money, mass debt holders
Tesla - ingenuity, adaptability.

I definitely need to do more research. Please tear apart my theory. I'm hungry to learn.

Thanks for the advice guys. I've been doing a lot of research and learning a ton!

I think the potential for genuine inflation is going to be low as it is all relative. The entire world has the same problem. Not to mention the greenback is still propped by it being the international business currency. If Russia, China and friends ever abandonded the dollar, we might see the inflation that should appear. When the banks stole that trillion in 2008, it didn't affect anything. Amazing.

I'm a total newb to stocks, but I've been reading a lot of articles etc., and I think reading the market right now will only be possible by assessing human behaviour. Of course, company fundamentals are still important, but how are people going to be behaving in the near and distant future?

My best guess is that people will want life to go back to normal asap. This is why the market is rebounding without a resolution to covid. We still have a while to endure this, but most businesses will survive, and society will function as it always did. No one is going to care about changing behaviour for the environment etc etc. That's horseshit. People will want to take their yearly to Mexico, even if they can't afford it. Airlines are a safe long term investment for sure.

I've been interested in Cineplex in Canada, the primary owner of movie theatres. Thier stock has been dropping over the years due to home viewing, but their financials are good and the stock was doing well within its environment. Their drop has not seen a significant recovery yet. My logic is based on who is going to be released into the public first. Who has the least risk? Kids under 25. What do these kids do? They go to movies. We're going to see a spike in this industry like never before. In my best guess, it would be anywhere from August to December. I'm waiting for the second drop to get in, if that second drop ever comes.

Anyone want to set my rookie head straight?

Just bought some stock in a funeral home/graveyard Corp. That's probably all I'll keep. The rest is cash for now.