Quoted from greenhornet:
[SPG 58.86 -6.93 (-10.53%)] - Simon Property Group, Inc. is an American commercial real estate company, the largest retail real estate investment trust (REIT), and the largest shopping mall operator in the US. It owns or has an interest in more than 325 properties comprising approximately 241,000,000 square feet of gross leasable area in North America and Asia.
down 58% in less than a month, from 142.77 on feb 21 2020. also down 50% from 119 in the last 7 trading days. shuttered customers and closeed stores means no retail business, leads to vacancies, meaning no rent. likely results, declining property values.
as for residential, 2008 can happen again. even the most creditworthy might not be able to pay the mortgage if they lose their job/business. foreclosures add to supply, and with fewer qualified buyers to maintain demand, prices should go down. in addition, people may have to tap their 401K at market lows to make ends meet, hurting their retirement prospects.
I would say that the specific area an REIT focuses in is important overall. Short term, nothing matters, it's all going down.
A company that owns tons of malls is probably pretty scary to be in right now. I don't go often, but when I do the mall that I go to doesn't seem to be hit terribly hard. Some empty units and lower foot traffic for sure, but business is still happening. This is not factoring in the current situation. I have read stories of huge chunks of malls being vacant of businesses though. The one in NW Tucson is like that.
I've seen a lot of local businesses close or move because of rents being increased by huge %'s outside of malls as well. Tucson is weird like that as well. you can drive around town in any part and typically find plenty of empty retail spaces.
I was actually referring to housing specifically, even though I didn't exactly say so. My brother is in Denver and would love to get a starter house but the market is silly expensive. If things cooled off there a little I'd be ok with that.