(Topic ID: 175889)

Stock Market Traders?

By kpg

7 years ago


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There are 20,972 posts in this topic. You are on page 240 of 420.
#11951 3 years ago
Quoted from rai:

This is false. The stock market is not a zero sum game.
Maybe options have winners and losers but not straight up stocks.
Also don’t forget many stocks also pay dividends so even if a stock goes down or flat you can still make money holding.

Most in Academia and who have studied the market would disagree with you. It is zero sum or in actuality, negative sum because of the bid/ask spread and fees.

A decent article

https://www.morningstar.com/articles/841310/is-the-stock-market-a-zero-sum-game

#11952 3 years ago
Quoted from robertmee:

Most in Academia and who have studied the market would disagree with you. It is zero sum or in actuality, negative sum because of the bid/ask spread and fees.
A decent article
https://www.morningstar.com/articles/841310/is-the-stock-market-a-zero-sum-game

Right below the article title is the answer "Yes and no." Interesting how you read that to be definitive.

#11953 3 years ago
Quoted from LITZ:

I exit if we get a close on or under the 4 ema on the daily chart. If intraday it slashes through that level I instantly sell. My other rule is to close out positions that have gone sideways for three days in a row. I can reenter the trade if the previous high is taken out, or the previous low is broken if I am going short using puts.
By sticking to my single breakout/ breakdown chart pattern and using price targets that are based on the volume profile chart with proper risk management, it is highly unlikely I will blowup my account. Been there, done that! Made back 6 figure losses (2012, 2015-2018) and more last year in the trading contest. 2019 I was breakeven. 2020 did 150K. This year I am up over 375K YTD thanks to MARA and RIOT.
I forgot to mention that I at the end of each month I transfer all of the profits out of the trading account to prevent me from giving any of that money back to the mkt. I reset the account to the base level I started the year

I didn't want to pay AMZN 10.00 the authors/ publishers / families are only missing out on a few bucks by the time Jeffery gets his cut.

Do yourself a favor and take 25% profit and put it in bonds. Just 25, you can still gamble with the other 75%

#11954 3 years ago
Quoted from Baiter:

It is absolutely a risk if you YOLO trades. The key to reduce risk (and thus increase success) is to be very picky about what, how, and when you are trading. There are ways to be very selective on high probability trades while limiting downside risk. Years ago I read books, listened to friends and coworkers, even picked the right stocks, but picking the right stocks at the wrong time and then not knowing when to bail can be devastating.
Quite a while back I YOLO'd on some trades, had some big wins and also had some big losses. I traded for a couple more years even dabbling in options, but at the end of the day I was doing nothing but generating commissions for my broker. So I just gave it up... and did mostly buy and hold in my IRA... and it did a little better for me. But when I look back on it if I bought and held the right stocks (many of which I had been trading at the time) I'd have been wealthy long ago.
The past year was akin to the 1999 internet bubble... anyone could make money by throwing a dart, and the only concern was which stock was going to make even more. You don't learn from success like you do from failure. Considering you didn't make money the past 4 years, that tells me is that you probably learned a lot of what not to do, and that will set you up for the next 4 years that will see more churning and more downturns. But you have to learn how to improve your success rate.
I got back into learning to trade recently so that I can be better prepared for the churning/downturning markets.... and it's showing me what I was doing wrong, and my bearings are getting back to where they should be. See my previous post and/or feel free to PM me if you have questions.

This market has all the hallmarks of a bubble too, but as the other Pinsider said you have to be in the game to make money. So we're all gambling...just keep your eyes peeled for the signs to get out. Normally the market will flash you warning signs before it blows up.
For now we're on a ride.

#11955 3 years ago
Quoted from Baiter:

It is absolutely a risk if you YOLO trades. The key to reduce risk (and thus increase success) is to be very picky about what, how, and when you are trading. There are ways to be very selective on high probability trades while limiting downside risk. Years ago I read books, listened to friends and coworkers, even picked the right stocks, but picking the right stocks at the wrong time and then not knowing when to bail can be devastating.
Quite a while back I YOLO'd on some trades, had some big wins and also had some big losses. I traded for a couple more years even dabbling in options, but at the end of the day I was doing nothing but generating commissions for my broker. So I just gave it up... and did mostly buy and hold in my IRA... and it did a little better for me. But when I look back on it if I bought and held the right stocks (many of which I had been trading at the time) I'd have been wealthy long ago.
The past year was akin to the 1999 internet bubble... anyone could make money by throwing a dart, and the only concern was which stock was going to make even more. You don't learn from success like you do from failure. Considering you didn't make money the past 4 years, that tells me is that you probably learned a lot of what not to do, and that will set you up for the next 4 years that will see more churning and more downturns. But you have to learn how to improve your success rate.
I got back into learning to trade recently so that I can be better prepared for the churning/downturning markets.... and it's showing me what I was doing wrong, and my bearings are getting back to where they should be. See my previous post and/or feel free to PM me if you have questions.

I agree with what you are saying, and maybe I wasn't clear. I have made money, but the returns overall were not anything to brag about. I have learned over time yes, but it really takes more time and effort than most people have time for. I would prefer a more hands off approach, but I don't really trust anyone else to handle it.

#11956 3 years ago
Quoted from Zablon:

I agree with what you are saying, and maybe I wasn't clear. I have made money, but the returns overall were not anything to brag about. I have learned over time yes, but it really takes more time and effort than most people have time for. I would prefer a more hands off approach, but I don't really trust anyone else to handle it.

The straight honest truth is that unless you have about 500K or so in investments, nobody is going to pick you up to manage your money for you. It is not worth their time. If you are looking to go hands-off put your money in an index fund and just let it ride.

#11957 3 years ago
Quoted from DBLM:

The straight honest truth is that unless you have about 500K or so in investments, nobody is going to pick you up to manage your money for you. It is not worth their time. If you are looking to go hands-off put your money in an index fund and just let it ride.

or something like a 2050 fund

#11958 3 years ago
Quoted from DBLM:

The straight honest truth is that unless you have about 500K or so in investments, nobody is going to pick you up to manage your money for you. It is not worth their time. If you are looking to go hands-off put your money in an index fund and just let it ride.

Good point.

I have a few Vanguard funds that I keep adding to, and hindsight I tell myself I should have just dumped everything in those back then

EDIT: as with many here, I have a % of play money in the market, in addition to a 401k, and a bank of cash. (I think most of us are similar, just with different $$ amounts). The market part is what I keep trying to improve upon, but honestly, just not something I love doing.

I was going to expand into rental properties and rethink my risk versus debt mentality, but then covid hit and I walked away from that idea.

#11959 3 years ago
Quoted from DBLM:

The straight honest truth is that unless you have about 500K or so in investments, nobody is going to pick you up to manage your money for you. It is not worth their time. If you are looking to go hands-off put your money in an index fund and just let it ride.

Yea that is the right advice. But even optimal index investing requires an investment in understanding and tracking macroeconomic indicators. With just a little more investment in time, picking individual stocks will improve upon what the index investing can give. And it goes on from there. In other words, the end result result is proportional to the effort put in.

#11960 3 years ago
Quoted from robertmee:

Most in Academia and who have studied the market would disagree with you. It is zero sum or in actuality, negative sum because of the bid/ask spread and fees.
A decent article
https://www.morningstar.com/articles/841310/is-the-stock-market-a-zero-sum-game

I've read some daytrading books that agree with rai

#11961 3 years ago
Quoted from Baiter:

Yea that is the right advice. But even optimal index investing requires an investment in understanding and tracking macroeconomic indicators. With just a little more investment in time, picking individual stocks will improve upon what the index investing can give. And it goes on from there. In other words, the end result result is proportional to the effort put in.

Oh, I agree with you fully. I have a significant financial motivator and put in the time to research things for my investments. I tend to beat the benchmarks, but I also put in the effort. There is a dude called investingdad that pops through here occasionally that is all about the index funds. He might be a guy for your to ping, @zablon.

#11962 3 years ago
Quoted from mattosborn:

Right below the article title is the answer "Yes and no." Interesting how you read that to be definitive.

I'm guessing you didn't read the article to see how much the "no" was qualified and what the conclusions were.

#11963 3 years ago
Quoted from loneacer:

I've read some daytrading books that agree with rai

That is interesting because day trading is definitely zero sum. Every buyer has a seller. Money in equals money out minus spread and fees.. The only argument that could be made for non zero sum market is very long term investments where corporations are in and out, and stocks go to 0 with no buyers or sellers, or new stocks are issued but then its a sum between individual investors and corporate coffers. But day trading? I'd like to understand how that could be considered anything but zero or negative sum.

#11964 3 years ago
Quoted from robertmee:

But day trading? I'd like to understand how that could be considered anything but zero or negative sum.

Shouldn't it be negative sum due to fees? Like poker at the casino, money paid < money played due to the rake?

#11965 3 years ago
Quoted from fosaisu:

Shouldn't it be negative sum due to fees? Like poker at the casino, money paid < money played due to the rake?

Most trading fees are $0 today... sometimes a tiny fee if you are doing OTC/foreign stocks.

#11966 3 years ago
Quoted from Baiter:

Most trading fees are $0 today... sometimes a tiny fee if you are doing OTC/foreign stocks.

Interesting, I'm strictly a 401k guy so didn't know about this change, but I just read up on it and apparently that's been the deal for the past few years. Though I guess taxes could still make it negative sum, assuming there are some traders who consistently come out ahead and won't have offsetting losses.

#11967 3 years ago
Quoted from WeirPinball:

Actually that is the wrong way to think, borrowing money on the cheap means the lender loses out long term if you can keep beating inflation on their cash.

I already used other people’s money to make more money by pulling out 84K from a rental property in fall of 2018. I’ve used the home equity loan along with my own money to fund my trading accounts! At this point I don’t need over 400-500k to trade with. That’s why I passed up their offer.

#11968 3 years ago
Quoted from WeirPinball:

Lets post how much you lose on a down day

Here’s today’s shitty returns! Still up 1700 or $260/ hr x 6.5 hrs
4F964BA8-922F-4B4F-80DE-0B7594DE1EF6 (resized).jpeg4F964BA8-922F-4B4F-80DE-0B7594DE1EF6 (resized).jpegCDAD1B99-3475-4AC8-8939-EAB821E0B3C6 (resized).pngCDAD1B99-3475-4AC8-8939-EAB821E0B3C6 (resized).png

#11969 3 years ago
Quoted from Baiter:

Most trading fees are $0 today... sometimes a tiny fee if you are doing OTC/foreign stocks.

There's still a small fee when you sell even with $0 fee commissions. It's an SEC fee or something like that.

#11970 3 years ago
Quoted from robertmee:

That is interesting because day trading is definitely zero sum. Every buyer has a seller. Money in equals money out minus spread and fees.. The only argument that could be made for non zero sum market is very long term investments where corporations are in and out, and stocks go to 0 with no buyers or sellers, or new stocks are issued but then its a sum between individual investors and corporate coffers. But day trading? I'd like to understand how that could be considered anything but zero or negative sum.

If I buy a share from you for $10, you buy it back from me for $20, I buy it back from you for $30, etc, didn't we all make money?

As long as the total market value of all securities is growing, it's not zero sum.

#11971 3 years ago
Quoted from robertmee:

I'm guessing you didn't read the article to see how much the "no" was qualified and what the conclusions were.

Sadly, I read the entire thing (which I think is poorly written BTW). The fact that we are not dealing with a closed system is the key reason I don't believe it's zero-sum.

#11972 3 years ago
Quoted from LITZ:

Here’s today’s shitty returns! Still up 1700 or $260/ hr x 6.5 hrs
[quoted image][quoted image]

OK - you got it - I'll call you out on the next REAL down day.

#11973 3 years ago
Quoted from loneacer:

If I buy a share from you for $10, you buy it back from me for $20, I buy it back from you for $30, etc, didn't we all make money?
As long as the total market value of all securities is growing, it's not zero sum.

No, you're $20 in the hole if that stock goes to 0. What you described is a pyramid with ever increasing returns. Not sustainable.

#11974 3 years ago
Quoted from loneacer:

There's still a small fee when you sell even with $0 fee commissions. It's an SEC fee or something like that.

There's also the skim by the market makers. When a stock transacts, the buyer and seller never pay the same. If I sell a stock at market value, and you buy the stock at market value, the bid/ask prices are different by a small amount. The House (market makers) skims this. It's how they profit.

#11975 3 years ago
Quoted from WeirPinball:

OK - you got it - I'll call you out on the next REAL down day.

Forgot mkt closed for Good Friday
Damn Easter Bunny Now that’s literally a down day IMO

4 day trading week ended up +48,350 at 12,087/ day or 1860/ hr (6.5hrs per day)

#11976 3 years ago

My mom’s be making bank!

74B260F6-CDC3-4C17-8D83-713C1C5E69D9 (resized).png74B260F6-CDC3-4C17-8D83-713C1C5E69D9 (resized).png
#11977 3 years ago

The last two weeks have been the slowest trading time for me in three years. I bought $3000 (my monthly transfer allowance) worth of QYLD today and that's all I've done for two weeks.

#11979 3 years ago

This is horrible advice. How do you possibly think they are a good investment? Serious question. Please post the real reasons why you believe. We all know another squeeze isnt happening.

#11980 3 years ago
Quoted from TRAMD:

The last two weeks have been the slowest trading time for me in three years. I bought $3000 (my monthly transfer allowance) worth of QYLD today and that's all I've done for two weeks.

Thanks for sharing that. Great post

#11981 3 years ago
Quoted from f3honda4me:

The covid death rate is lower than what you're stating. The problem with covid is that there are many people who have had it and never had symptoms or never got tested. Recently there are CDC/WHO epidemiologists who estimated the actual number of cases may be 5x-10x higher than the confirmed cases which would put covid at a death rate closer to standard flu.

Hilarious, a post that shows that death rates are actually lower than reported, and the post gets moderated!

#11982 3 years ago
Quoted from cnuts13:

Thanks for sharing that. Great post

HAHA! You dick.

#11983 3 years ago

Way to dilute the shares! Maybe wood will buy more now...

#11984 3 years ago

Sold my tme Thursday for a couple bucks profit, small wins to build my account.

Sold pltr at 23, took a 3$ loss but planning to buy back if it dips down enough. I want my 3$ back!!

Got some mgm a couple weeks ago at 39, nice to see it above that again.

Still gonna ride or die with hitif

#11985 3 years ago
Quoted from WeirPinball:

Way to dilute the shares! Maybe wood will buy more now...

There are 1.47B shares outstanding.

#11986 3 years ago

Who the IRS? Lol. He has 70M more options expiring this year. 61M at 10...........cents

Yeah I feel growth winners from last year will be choppy this year after last years run up. Yes there are more options coming up and also short term capital gains turning into long term capital gains for last years purchases made from April on.

And this past January’s trading was 70% higher than Jan the previous year. Traders be trading. Trend still leans slightly upward with a lower short term ceiling. With higher growth you have a stomach for the Chop chop.

#11987 3 years ago
Quoted from extraballingtmc:

Sold my tme Thursday for a couple bucks profit, small wins to build my account.
Sold pltr at 23, took a 3$ loss but planning to buy back if it dips down enough. I want my 3$ back!!
Got some mgm a couple weeks ago at 39, nice to see it above that again.
Still gonna ride or die with hitif

Does Canada have anything like wash sale rules? ‘Cause in the USA, you are still in the penalty box for a few more weeks.

#11988 3 years ago
Quoted from pinnyheadhead:

Who the IRS? Lol. He has 70M more options expiring this year. 61M at 10...........cents
Yeah I feel growth winners from last year will be choppy this year after last years run up. Yes there are more options coming up and also short term capital gains turning into long term capital gains for last years purchases made from April on.
And this past January’s trading was 70% higher than Jan the previous year. Traders be trading. Trend still leans slightly upward with a lower short term ceiling. With higher growth you have a stomach for the Chop chop.

Yeah, at least right now it looks like all the recent pltr insider stock sales are due to raising cash to cover the tax implications of the sweet sweet stock options exercising.

#11989 3 years ago
Quoted from Oaken:

Does Canada have anything like wash sale rules? ‘Cause in the USA, you are still in the penalty box for a few more weeks.

I’m no expert and I just started trading several weeks ago.

I’m trading in a tfsa so I should be ok as it won’t be taxed unless I make around a million or so or am very actively day trading. Also if I work in finance and am trading a lot then cra could flag me.

Appears the wash rule would only apply if I was in an regular investment account then I couldn’t claim capital losses.

Again anyone feel free to chime in as I’m very new to all this.

#11990 3 years ago

.

#11991 3 years ago

Don’t have access to the article. Is this good or bad news for us holders?

#11992 3 years ago

Probably bad unless you like buying dips. I’ve read a few articles that say if pltr breaks 20 then it could go down to 17.

#11993 3 years ago
Quoted from extraballingtmc:

Probably bad unless you like buying dips. I’ve read a few articles that say if pltr breaks 20 then it could go down to 17.

Sorry for all the other owners, but I would love for that to happen.

#11994 3 years ago
Quoted from Oaken:

Sorry for all the other owners, but I would love for that to happen.

If it happens I will just keep adding. I think things were crazy and now some of this stuff is going too far the other way. Pendulum theory.

#11995 3 years ago

At 17 I’d definitely consider building a larger position!

#11996 3 years ago

I think Pltr will be @ 27-30 once any news is released, it’s cheap any price under 30$

#11997 3 years ago
Quoted from KornFreak28:

Don’t have access to the article. Is this good or bad news for us holders?

Nothing all that material to the stock itself. He's just selling out of his options...they were planned sale anyway...I doubt the it will move the needle much

#11998 3 years ago
Quoted from Londonpinball:

I think Pltr will be @ 27-30 once any news is released, it’s cheap any price under 30$

Its P/E is 4 times the average P/E for its sector...I believe it is still over priced. I'm not vested in it either way, so for those invested i hope you're right, but proceed with caution.

1 week later
#11999 3 years ago

Hitif is killing me. Hope it’s worth it long term.

MGM doing good lately.

#12000 3 years ago
Quoted from extraballingtmc:

Hitif is killing me. Hope it’s worth it long term.
MGM doing good lately.

It's been rock solid at .6? How is it killing you? Its always been a long term play.

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