Quoted from Grayman_EM:Sorry but that was for a non-working game. The cabinet could need repair as long as it's not falling apart.
What goes up will IN TIME come down given if the title falls out of favor. If the economy were to suffer even more downturns "in time" people would have less recreational money to spend on collectables.
I disagree IMO as Will Darnel said in the movie Christine. "Ya can't polish a turd." If it doesn't work you have a nice lawn ornament. Pinballs are made to be played and enjoyed IMO of course.
Actually, pinball prices have not mirrored the general economy. Indeed, a significant number of titles went up dramatically during the downturn. I submit that predicting price trends is not nearly as simple as the availability of recreational spending among all economic groups.
I do not think that an "inevitability factor" is a valid barometer of pinball prices. Instead, I am convinced that a variety of factors have historically affected prices in the hobby. Just because the 2006 Illinois Pinball remake of Big Bang Bar originally sold for $4,500 and now hovers in the $15K to $20K range does not mean that "in time" that title will return to its original $4,500 price tag. If you're waiting for that price adjustment, based upon a "what goes up, must come down valuation theory," I hope that you're a young enthusiast because you're likely to wait a lifetime.
The "what goes up, must come down" economic theory is equally contradicted among prewar games, which have existed decades longer in the marketplace. For example, a 1935 Rockola's Army Navy won't be available for a few hundred dollars anytime soon, as it was 30 years ago. If you could find an Army Navy today, you would have to offer to trade your BBB because that's the going rate, and that game continues to appreciate in value.
When I first entered the hobby, people would give you $25 to remove a pinball machine from their suburban basement! There are threads on pinside dedicated to price trends, so I'll refrain from commenting any further here on that topic.
As for your characterization as Beat Time as a "turd," I would be glad to have a polished one in my line-up. Many Williams EM games are underrated, in my view. In fact, it's the Williams EMs which have arguably appreciated in value more than any other pinball category in the last five years. Irrespective of pricing prognostications, we do agree, that pinball machines are meant to be played.