(Topic ID: 253083)
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3 months later
Quoted from PinballRusch:I predict in the next 2 years the prices will drop for all but maybe 20 super desirable titles from the mid 80’s to early 00’s. At that time, EMs will drop to $400-$500, lame SS titles will be below $1,400 in good/average condition, and highly desirable titles remaining close to where they are now. Might even see the “new” titles from today dropping rather fast and only the well laid out titles holding value.
You and every single person in your exact same time frame (early into entering the hobby) has predicted this exact same thing for the last 20 years... There are over 100 threads about it on Pinside. It's well beyond the point of nonsense.
"The economy is going to tank and all prices will fall." Average machines values actually increased quite a bit from 2007-2012...
When Stern was barely open and couldn't sell a game for 3 grand, people said the same thing.
When games were NIB at 3499.99 and they were not selling for Stern, people said the same thing.
When games were NIB at 4499.99 and they were selling better, people said the same thing.
Now, people are saying the same thing.
There are so many factors that you are not considering regarding the actual "price" of any given item. Condition, location, distance, shipping, rarity, all affect the asking or sale "price", quite dramatically.
Most pinball purists actually hope what you are predicting DOES happen. Because if it does, then there will be some great deals for the true fans who are actually buying machines so that they can play pinball. Pinball is so many different things to so many in this community that you can NEVER say for certain that anything is going to happen, so just stop. Whatever happens happens and given the diversity of the hobby, no one event or person has so much influence that it will effect the market more than a hill of beans.
Quoted from phil-lee:I agree with much of what you said. Pinball pricing is one of the favorite subjects people love to discuss. There are those who don't want any discussion, however, and will attempt to berate you into silence with "Its all been discussed before, no need to bring it up again" or " go to this old thread. Not certain why they feel so triggered when it comes up, its obvious people want to talk pricing trends.
Perhaps the next new thread that does come up concerning pricing they can blow out of it and keep quiet so everyone can have at it.
There is nothing to discuss unless you can predict the future. No one wants to discuss the history of pinball pricing (facts), they mostly want to make wild predictions of what's to come (not possible). You see the difference? You can make whatever predictions you want about what game is next or what you want to see Stern make, or what you want the prices of games to be, but no one has any control over those things. Discuss whatever you want, you must enjoy hearing people babble. There is no anger or bad will in my posts, it's just been discussed so many times, and beaten and beaten and beaten into the threads on Pinside.
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