Quoted from too-many-pins:It seems like this is one of the worst things to happen to the hobby since I have been involved and there really doesn't seem to be a lot posted about the impact this is going to have on the hobby short & long term.
Take a deep breath, and take a step back. There is nothing to know just yet...
What a lot of people don't realize is that about 12 or so years ago, there were no parts for anything... and games were *cheap*, often because of it. I was offered multiple TZs early on in my 'collecting career' because they didn't have parts to fix anything when they broke. It was well known that once you had your clock board go bad, the clock wouldn't work.
Slowly at first, people came in and started making aftermarket replacements for those rare parts. We started getting redesigned clock boards, flipper boards, those horrid ball trough opto boards, and
so on. This helped to stabilize prices.
The next thing was that a while after Gene bought Williams out, certain high-demand parts became available for the first time in ages. Stuff like TAF playfields and plastics, and for the first time people could buy and fix up all parts of that blown out TAF they were thinking of getting. This was the first time that games really started to inflate in value.
Certain games, like MM have had nearly every part remade. I think that this in large part led to the spiraling upward of the price - You get a blown out routed MM, and you can make it look as nice as you want to, as long as you're willing to spend some coin to make it happen. So people did. The parts industry started booming, and between the weird Gene / Wayne stuff, a whole bunch of parts started being manufactured.
Now, *if* PPS decides to completely limit the flow of parts for machines, you'll see the prices for those machines start to sink I think. People are far less interested in buying a machine that if one part goes bad, they have a giant paperweight. They also won't buy a beat up machine if they want the nicest one and can't get the parts for it.
But we don't know yet. Gene didn't get the rights for B/W and have new stuff come out the next day. It took years for a lot of the stuff to get made, and in some cases he sold out immediately and it would take years again. We aren't in danger of losing the people that make the aftermarket boards, which is the biggest thing that could crater parts.
I think that everyone needs to take a deep breath and wait a while longer to see what happens. The price trends and PR stories are troubling, but we should see what else is happening before casting full judgment. The games you have won't drop in value to nothing, certain titles like MM aren't going to overly crash because there are parts available. We'll see what happens to those games further down the 'loved' list.