Quoted from Sandman33:I have a bad feeling that soon people, including myself will be wishing you could eat that expensive pinball collection....I really hope not.
Be nice!
This topic is closed.
Quoted from Sandman33:I have a bad feeling that soon people, including myself will be wishing you could eat that expensive pinball collection....I really hope not.
Be nice!
Quoted from jeffspinballpalace:Give me a fairly, priced used pin and I will buy it.
Preach!
Quoted from kidchrisso:not seeing my METLE going back to the NIB price of $7200 that I paid any time soon
Nothing ever drops compaired to money, since money is just numbers on paper and next to worhtless over time.
If you want to look at pinball as an investment you should compare it to farmland in texas, cupper or whatever.
What was the price of prime farmland in texas 2013? Now?
I don’t think any bubble will burst but it will shrink slightly. Pinball company’s know shit is gonna hit the fan very soon so cashing in whilst they can. The looming recession will have big effect on pinball market I think.
Quoted from russdx:I don’t think any bubble will burst but it will shrink slightly. Pinball company’s know shit is gonna hit the fan very soon so cashing in whilst they can. The looming recession will have big effect on pinball market I think.
I think I heard that same statement at the start of the apocalypse 2 years ago tho
Quoted from SantaEatsCheese:So... I'll throw out a controversial comment here. I really don't care if the bubble bursts. I am really happy with the collection I have now. I can always trade pins, and if I get stuck with what I have... O no... I'm stuck with all these pins I love! Worst case scenerio I switch over to doing trades or temp trades because I can't let a pin go at a loss for whatever reason. I'm kind of in that situation now. I overpaid for a (very nice) Nine Ball and can't psychologically bring myself to sell it at a loss, so I'm going on an 8 hour round trip tomorrow to trade for a Fathom. Big boy brain time right here.
Could not agree more. I’m laughing as I read these posts because I never ever counted this as some type of retirement fund. I have 10 games and I love them, and play them. Still baffled by people trading games with less than 50 plays but to each their own. It’s called a “game” for a reason. Relax Francis.
Also, thanks for trading with me!
Quoted from Dogford_Studios:With increases in rents we'll probably see more movement, perhaps downsizing to smaller spaces. That storage locker of games might need to be reevaluated. Games might need to be sold to cover losses in cyber/stock market.
I could see an increased supply of used game and new games on the market and prices leveling off.
I know no one who rents and owns pins. That sounds like a heavy pita.
In this housing market downsizing=smaller home similar price. Ouch. Unless you’re moving to that one bedroom down the street. I’m talking only my town, and circle, not nationally. Results may vary.
Quoted from NPO:Well said. If people are paying $1000 for a piece of plastic with blinking lights to add on top of their games but an extra $100 in gas is going to stop someone from buying a WHOLE GAME, that's just some funny logic there.
That’s how a lot of average people think. It’s been my experience that most people are bad with money and reasoning for emotional items.
Burst? No. Collector markets usually don’t burst.
Prices go up and down a bit, yes. The supply shortage will eventually correct itself. When prices are inflated like now just follow a few basic guidelines (if possible).
1. Don’t take cash out of the bank to pay inflated prices.
2. Sell games that have increased in value since you bought them to offset the increase of the new game.
3. If you want a new game, NIB at MSRP is often the best price. You just have to wait a while for the game.
When selling a game, I consider any loss of 10% or less just the cost of owning it for a while. Almost like rent. No harm. If I break even or make a profit, that’s a bonus. I’m sure this last bit is not to everyone’s liking, but it works for me.
Quoted from Zartan:Buy the one on Kijiji. After exchange you will be right at that price point!
[quoted image]
Thats a Met PRO, they made thousands of them - only 500 LEs. The LE's are selling for around 16k.
Quoted from underlord:I know no one who rents and owns pins. That sounds like a heavy pita.
I rent and own pins and you’re correct, it is a colossal pain in the ass.
This past winter, our landlord decided to sell the house we’d lived in for years without warning. Had to move all my games 3 hours away in a snow storm. I’ll sell most of them if we have to move into another rental from here.
My partner and I were finally ready to buy a house just as the Covid shitshow hit, and our traditional mortgage offers didn’t stand a chance against the plague of city folks fleeing out to the country with cash offers.
So, the pinch on the housing and rental worlds may have atleast one owner selling their games.
Quoted from Dr-pin:Nothing ever drops compaired to money, since money is just numbers on paper and next to worhtless over time.
If you want to look at pinball as an investment you should compare it to farmland in texas, cupper or whatever.
What was the price of prime farmland in texas 2013? Now?
I dont know, I'm not a farmer.
Quoted from JohnTTwo:I have a NIB Zilla LE. So it will be worth less next year?
Very unlikely. The LE remains very strong.
Quoted from BeachPickle:I rent and own pins and you’re correct, it is a colossal pain in the ass.
This past winter, our landlord decided to sell the house we’d lived in for years without warning. Had to move all my games 3 hours away in a snow storm. I’ll sell most of them if we have to move into another rental from here.
My partner and I were finally ready to buy a house just as the Covid shitshow hit, and our traditional mortgage offers didn’t stand a chance against the plague of city folks fleeing out to the country with cash offers.
So, the pinch on the housing and rental worlds may have atleast one owner selling their games.
I’m sorry man. That’s rough.
Quoted from JohnTTwo:I have a NIB Zilla LE. So it will be worth less next year?
Is it still in the box tho?!? Yikes you are an oak Wyatt
Quoted from JohnTTwo:I have a NIB Zilla LE. So it will be worth less next year?
Like we've been saying, the LEs are holding. Especially, LEs of the #1 ranked game of all time.
Quoted from DakotaMike:Like we've been saying, the LEs are holding. Especially, LEs of the #1 ranked game of all time.
There is 1,000 Zilla LEs. 100% they will be dropping next year
Quoted from iceman44:There is 1,000 Zilla LEs. 100% they will be dropping next year
Ah this will be interesting to reflect on, your credibility will go either way.
I enjoy and respect your post.
Inflation means everything goes up (except sitting on cash or stocks) pins are no exception than any other material item.
Quoted from Jmckune:We will cut him a break this time:
21 years of "Bubble burst" predictions refresher course. Yes, this actual thread is listed back in 2011.
2000:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/high$20prices$20market$20collapse%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/gzU8ZAOxvUE/qII_fx4klQ0J
2001:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/pricing$20decrease%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/3XZf_itbXjY/QI04T4Qr9UkJ
2002:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/pinball$20price$20bubble%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/8CDhldb5kyw/JxQRQPIGmQwJ
2003:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/pinball$20market$20price$20fall%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/clAO0zIHHfQ/CbExiOZrldIJ
2004:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/pricing$20decrease%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/pXZDb-2V6Yk/GSPWq06-nWsJ
2005:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/pricing$20bubble%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/ACTs0HpQktA/x-C5LZAF180J
2006:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/pinball$20price$20bubble%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/dBrqPnk7mkk/nQYyh65_fewJ
2007:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/pinball$20prices$20fall%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/femnxuH8a1k/oeXzsItDbOQJ
2008:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/high$20prices$20market$20collapse%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/44iMVjwb68o/wXb8-3F9vOIJ
2009:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/pricing$20market%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/JsgTrS05pCc/8pB5t9oUqTAJ
2010:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/pricing$20market%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/hNRZGnOAZ-Y/bs8Js1M7sUAJ
2011:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/high$20prices$20market$20collapse%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/DlcZoruS0Bo/VO_cueyPCEQJ
2012:
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/pinball-price-bubble-think-it-cant-happen-think-again
2013:
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/pinball-price-bubble-will-pop
2014:
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/this-is-not-a-rebirth-of-pinball-its-a-bubble
2015:
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/we-all-want-the-ass-to-drop-out-of-pinball
2016:
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/when-will-the-stern-bubble-burst
2017:
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/are-we-in-a-pinball-bubble
2018:
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/why-i-feel-pinball-prices-are-going-to-plummet
2019:
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/will-pinball-prices-come-down-
2020:
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/prices-dropping-
2021 (this year has been a fuggin BANNER YEAR for price bubble threads...maybe it's something in the vaccines):
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/pinball-pricing-bubble-due-to-covid-one-nine
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/similarities-with-pinball-market-amp-the-2008-housing-crash
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/next-pinball-depression-
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/how-to-feel-about-these-exorbitant-pinball-prices/page/2#post-6254131
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/pingreed-is-a-cancer-is-there-a-cure
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/prices-of-pinball-machines-today#post-6229413
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/pinflation-or-inflation
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/price-gouging
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/f-you-stern-and-your-price-increases
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/are-pinballs-the-beanie-baby-craze-of-the-2020s
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/we-have-jumped-the-shark
Yeah, but they were doing it wrong. We really mean it this time.
Quoted from HoneyBadger:Inflation means everything goes up (except sitting on cash or stocks) pins are no exception than any other material item.
Continue that train of thought.
If necessities go up and your pay does not more of you discretionary income gets shunted aside for food, rent & fuel leaving less for leisure activities.
Quoted from gdonovan:Continue that train of thought.
If necessities go up and your pay does not more of you discretionary income gets shunted aside for food, rent & fuel leaving less for leisure activities.
Yes. Like, uhm…let me see…ahh. Pinball.
I’m thinking that most here aren’t choosing between eating or buying a pin. Although I DO need to thin up the middle a tad.
No one at a pinball show looks like they are starving and will need to sell games to sustain life. Most I see (including me) could live for months on water alone. Never mind the snacks they probably have hiding in their cargo shorts.
Quoted from Sandman33:I have a bad feeling that soon people, including myself will be wishing you could eat that expensive pinball collection....I really hope not.
I’ll trade you a box of 12 gauge shotgun shells and (6) 16oz cans of baked beans for your Fish Tales.
Quoted from Gotpins:No one at a pinball show looks like they are starving and will need to sell games to sustain life. Most I see (including me) could live for months on water alone. Never mind the snacks they probably have hiding in their cargo shorts.
Oh you have not even begin to feel the pain.
I work in healthcare and do a lot of ordering, several supplies we require are simply not available for long periods of time or currently at 3 times the going rate they were a year ago. Trash bags alone have doubled in the last 30 days. Sounds trivial but we go through thousands of dollars in trash bags per month.
The owner sold the facility; the closing is on September 1st. He is no fool, between the state being openly hostile towards long care facilities and ever increasing costs of operations he is retiring. I'm considering riding in till the crash or pulling the eject handle beforehand.
Its not a question of if the facility closes, it's a question of when unless things turn around.
- Everybody got thousands of $$$ from the Fed in 2020/2021.
- People could not go to their favorite bar/locations for almost 18 months to play their favorite titles, or any pins for that matter.
Result.
- Everyone that was on the bubble about starting their own collection gave in and started their own collection.
This added new buyers, new buying power to an already growing market.
Stern saw that and played it masterfully:
Mass produce the ok games, limit produce the desirable titles, watch the secondary market prices rise, then sneak in and announce the biggest one time price increase yet with arguable their best title in a long time (GZ).
Now that younger people are drinking the pinball Koolade (took the last 10 years for this to finally start to really happen):
There is no going back.
These prices are here to stay. They may level off, but they will not go backwards.
Rave's comment about the never again $4500 Addams could not have been more accurate.
Like so many others, I watch fb marketplace, Craigslist, etc. obsessively. Prices are coming down and things just aren’t selling, especially for B rated games. Newer games and the more desirable WPC machines still seem to be steady, but some of the older Williams, Gottlieb and Data East games just sit on fb marketplace and I watch the sellers drop the prices.
That’s not stopping people from asking $6k for a high speed, but who’s buying?
Maybe it all makes sense from a finance perspective. Middle class America lives on a tight budget and likely could have afforded those B level games before inflation took over. The A tier games not so much. It’s not every household that can drop $10k on a toy. Point being, the upper class likely still have some cash to throw around…
Quoted from ejg10532626:- Everybody got thousands of $$$ from the Fed in 2020/2021.
- People could not go to their favorite bar/locations for almost 18 months to play their favorite titles, or any pins for that matter.
Result.
- Everyone that was on the bubble about starting their own collection gave in and started their own collection.
This added new buyers, new buying power to an already growing market.
Stern saw that and played it masterfully:
Mass produce the ok games, limit produce the desirable titles, watch the secondary market prices rise, then sneak in and announce the biggest one time price increase yet with arguable their best title in a long time (GZ).
Now that younger people are drinking the pinball Koolade (took the last 10 years for this to finally start to really happen):
There is no going back.
These prices are here to stay. They may level off, but they will not go backwards.
Rave's comment about the never again $4500 Addams could not have been more accurate.
Certain A-list titles will remain that, A-list; There is a demand greater than the pool of available units and collectors with deep pockets who can afford them.
The price there will ebb and flow a bit but not too much. B and C list stuff the average pin guys play with? Different story.
Quoted from pinzrfun:Where on earth did you get that figure -
NY TIMES predicts a 5% drop by the middle of 2023, but The Mortgage Bankers Association and Fannie Mae forecast U.S. home price growth of 3.1% and 3.2%, respectively next year.
As a local real estate investor, inventory in my target area is normally around 65 houses daily, and has barely moved over 20 in at least 4 years. There's still way more demand than inventory.
I do think there will be a correction, but 20%? No.
Oh it’s already crashing. I went to look at this because of the massive price drop and the agent begged me to write at 1.3-which means they’ll take 1.2. It zillows out at 1.5.
Poke around on Zillow, price cuts everywhere
Folks already feel less rich because of stocks and crypto…and when they realize their homes are down big within the next few months it’s going to be a bloodbath.
Lending tree and synchrony bank have simple savings accounts right now paying 1.4-1.5% just to sit on cash…
43584553-5F12-41A8-ADC9-CE11156BFBE1 (resized).pngQuoted from Jmckune:We will cut him a break this time:
21 years of "Bubble burst" predictions refresher course. Yes, this actual thread is listed back in 2011.
2000:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/high$20prices$20market$20collapse%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/gzU8ZAOxvUE/qII_fx4klQ0J
2001:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/pricing$20decrease%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/3XZf_itbXjY/QI04T4Qr9UkJ
2002:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/pinball$20price$20bubble%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/8CDhldb5kyw/JxQRQPIGmQwJ
2003:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/pinball$20market$20price$20fall%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/clAO0zIHHfQ/CbExiOZrldIJ
2004:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/pricing$20decrease%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/pXZDb-2V6Yk/GSPWq06-nWsJ
2005:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/pricing$20bubble%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/ACTs0HpQktA/x-C5LZAF180J
2006:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/pinball$20price$20bubble%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/dBrqPnk7mkk/nQYyh65_fewJ
2007:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/pinball$20prices$20fall%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/femnxuH8a1k/oeXzsItDbOQJ
2008:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/high$20prices$20market$20collapse%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/44iMVjwb68o/wXb8-3F9vOIJ
2009:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/pricing$20market%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/JsgTrS05pCc/8pB5t9oUqTAJ
2010:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/pricing$20market%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/hNRZGnOAZ-Y/bs8Js1M7sUAJ
2011:
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/rec.games.pinball/high$20prices$20market$20collapse%7Csort:date/rec.games.pinball/DlcZoruS0Bo/VO_cueyPCEQJ
2012:
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/pinball-price-bubble-think-it-cant-happen-think-again
2013:
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/pinball-price-bubble-will-pop
2014:
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/this-is-not-a-rebirth-of-pinball-its-a-bubble
2015:
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/we-all-want-the-ass-to-drop-out-of-pinball
2016:
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/when-will-the-stern-bubble-burst
2017:
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/are-we-in-a-pinball-bubble
2018:
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/why-i-feel-pinball-prices-are-going-to-plummet
2019:
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/will-pinball-prices-come-down-
2020:
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/prices-dropping-
2021 (this year has been a fuggin BANNER YEAR for price bubble threads...maybe it's something in the vaccines):
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/pinball-pricing-bubble-due-to-covid-one-nine
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/similarities-with-pinball-market-amp-the-2008-housing-crash
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/next-pinball-depression-
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/how-to-feel-about-these-exorbitant-pinball-prices/page/2#post-6254131
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/pingreed-is-a-cancer-is-there-a-cure
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/prices-of-pinball-machines-today#post-6229413
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/pinflation-or-inflation
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/price-gouging
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/f-you-stern-and-your-price-increases
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/are-pinballs-the-beanie-baby-craze-of-the-2020s
https://pinside.com/pinball/forum/topic/we-have-jumped-the-shark
Nice work collecting the threads. Finaince 101 -> ITS NOT THE PRICES GOING UP. ITS THE DOLLAR GOING DOWN.
Well its also the pinball machine prices going up. I had NIB Metallica Master of Puppets I bought for 6800 sold 8K, worth 18K now. TRON LE I sold for 10K worth ??. Pinball Machines are better than savings accounts.
Quoted from RandomGuyOffCL:Oh it’s already crashing. I went to look at this because of the massive price drop and the agent begged me to write at 1.3-which means they’ll take 1.2. It zillows out at 1.5.
Poke around on Zillow, price cuts everywhere
Folks already feel less rich because of stocks and crypto…and when they realize their homes are down big within the next few months it’s going to be a bloodbath.
Lending tree and synchrony bank have simple savings accounts right now paying 1.4-1.5% just to sit on cash…[quoted image]
We are going thru the “Great Reset”.
Anybody interested in their future should look up the World Economic Forum and their young global leaders and Klaus Schwab.
It’s not a conspiracy theory it’s all out in the open.
Quoted from Av8:Nice work collecting the threads. Finaince 101 -> ITS NOT THE PRICES GOING UP. ITS THE DOLLAR GOING DOWN.
Well its also the pinball machine prices going up. I had NIB Metallica Master of Puppets I bought for 6800 sold 8K, worth 18K now. TRON LE I sold for 10K worth ??. Pinball Machines are better than savings accounts.
Don’t give me too much credit. I simply copied and pasted Levi’s last post I could find
Quoted from Jmckune:Don’t give me too much credit. I simply copied and pasted Levi’s last post I could find
I appreciate that, but that mind-numbing (and notably completely partial) list of “bubble-burst” threads belong to the world now.
It’s the sun, the moon, and the bubble burst threads now.
Quoted from Damen:the “Great Reset”.
Man I can’t hardly wait…exciting times ahead!
I was the schnook who lost it all in 08…but not this time
Quoted from ultimategameroom:I’ll trade you a box of 12 gauge shotgun shells and (6) 16oz cans of baked beans for your Fish Tales.
LOL. I can't believe a couple people actually downvoted my original post. Just saying that when Bill Gates is the largest owner of US farmland....but is NOT farming it....and the US govt continues to pay farmers NOT to farm....meanwhile the next bullshit war rages on overseas that is stopping food production globally...we all may have issues soon.
Not trying to be a downer, just stating some facts that people might not be aware of.
Bubble burst threads aren’t really bubble burst threads any more, this seemed to change around Early 2022.
Now they are recession prediction threads. Kind of a different animal.
Yet they feel like they’ve been going on just as long. And it’s still more than 2 years till the next election.
I predict many more of these new style bubble burst threads, but what else is new. They are the straw that stirs the drink!
Quoted from RyanStl:A new bubble thread from an 11 yr old member. Not sure what to think about that.
To his credit, he only has 450 posts over those 11 years.
Quoted from Sandman33:LOL. I can't believe a couple people actually downvoted my original post. Just saying that when Bill Gates is the largest owner of US farmland....but is NOT farming it....and the US govt continues to pay farmers NOT to farm....meanwhile the next bullshit war rages on overseas that is stopping food production globally...we all may have issues soon.
Not trying to be a downer, just stating some facts that people might not be aware of.
Remember, Half the population doesn't like facts.
Quoted from Roostking:Remember, Half the population doesn't like facts.
True...Did you see that someone blew up the Georgia Guidestones!? The Globalist manifesto of depopulation went boom.
Quoted from CrazyLevi:Bubble burst threads aren’t really bubble burst threads any more, this seemed to change around Early 2022.
Now they are recession prediction threads. Kind of a different animal.
Yet they feel like they’ve been going on just as long. And it’s still more than 2 years till the next election.
I predict many more of these new style bubble burst threads, but what else is new. They are the straw that stirs the drink!
Levi you're bursting the bubble burst thread bubble!
Quoted from Damen:Anybody interested in their future should look up the World Economic Forum and their young global leaders and Klaus Schwab.
It’s not a conspiracy theory it’s all out in the open.
that's just capitalism
pasted_image (resized).pngQuoted from Roostking:Remember, Half the population doesn't like facts.
This is true.. there is also a fair amount of population that could give a shit facts or no facts.
Apple keeps all its cash offshore to avoid taxes yet everyone owns an Iphone or some other apple product.
People love to complain and do nothing...
The bubble will burst just like it will for just about everything else the fed overinflated last few years.
And when it does people will still complain..
Quoted from NC_Pin:It always goes up faster than it goes down. It has gone down some, but it will probably take a few weeks for it to be fully seen.
Ain't that the truth
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