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(Topic ID: 70193)

Peak Oil! Peak Pinball?


By Aussiepinwiz

6 years ago



Topic Stats

  • 75 posts
  • 39 Pinsiders participating
  • Latest reply 6 years ago by BlackWidow
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    Topic poll

    “When will Peak Pinball be reached?”

    • By 2015 45 votes
      51%
    • By 2020 10 votes
      11%
    • By 2030 6 votes
      7%
    • By 2040 1 vote
      1%
    • Sometime between 2050-2099 5 votes
      6%
    • Not for at least another century 1 vote
      1%
    • Never. The world will completely run out of oil before pinball dies! 21 votes
      24%

    (89 votes by 0 Pinsiders)

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    #35 6 years ago

    I think you are making a very incorrect assumption that pinball's only market is the existing one. Think about what happens when China and India gets to a level of disposable income to afford a pin. And no they won't be paying what we're currently paying either. They'll be pumped out in higher volumes and sold for a fraction of the cost. 1.2 billion people in India and 1.3 billion in China. 2.5 billion. I can see both cultures latching onto pinball. As they're cultures and freedoms grow, these are still social cultures - I can see the equivalent of our arcades in the 70's and 80's becoming very popular there. While there will be another dip in pinball in western culture - I don't believe it will die there. Not by a long shot. So our culture might be close to peak pinball - the global market is not. If even .01% of their populations latch on to pinball is still 250,000 pinball machines

    #39 6 years ago
    Quoted from Aussiepinwiz:

    You make a very good point, but …
    I too thought of the increasing prosperity of China and India, but then I realised that people living in these countries do not live in big houses, and they do not usually have garages, and they are not likely to in the future because there simply isn't enough land. The wealthy Chinese of 2025 will be living in 2 bedroom apartments. Where will they put these 250,000 machines? I don't think these countries will rescue the pinball industry because they tend to live in very small apartments, and I cannot see how the arcade business will succeed there despite declining everywhere else.
    Have I missed something that would suggest otherwise?

    ya - the equivalent of our arcade from the 70's and 80's. That's where the machines go and not in the homes.

    #58 6 years ago
    Quoted from wayout440:

    Arcades there are high tech. No place for pinball...

    srg2.jpg 179 KB

    That's what the 50 percent of the population is doing. I'm talking about a much smaller niche. And how's to say they won't come up with a high tech version of pinball that better aligns the flexibility of digital with the randomness of analog. Sure jjp has done some innovation. But innovation still based off what was mainstream 20 years ago. I think there is a better midway point between virtual pin tables and what jjp is building.

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