I think it's becoming more normal for NIB pins to drop in value due to the number of games that are now out including remakes, high LE counts, super / collector editions, and multiple runs of games. If a NIB pin takes a $500-$1000 hit after a year that sucks but isn't the end of the world.

Personally I would rather buy a 2 year old car and save $5k-$10k on it versus buying new. That more then makes up for any depreciation from NIB pins.

There's a big difference though in someone looking for a quick sale versus a normal price. Also, condition, extras, and location heavily effects the price as well. Normal stock Hobbit HUO price is between $6500-$7000 at this time which is still a big hit from new. There's been some sales around $6k but they have been routed games with issues.

I remember seeing one Star Trek LE sell for $6k a while back but they are certainly worth much more then that. However, Star Trek had it's code heavily worked on after that point and prices for the game rised. The Hobbit desperately needs some polish and a final wizard mode added for its prices to start recovering. Whether that happens or not remains to be seen.

I think code support and whether or not code has been polished has a big influence on resale value. While resale on WOZ's are pretty good today there was a time where they were taking a decent hit due to the state of its code.

I think higher priced games will be the ones taking the largest hit as the customer base at those price points is going to be smaller.

Both Stern and JJP are going run into a problem, and I think they are already there, where their customer base is growing smaller with each price increase. Also, both companies, especially JJP, are removing the rarity factor of LE's by making producing high counts of LE games. If Stern had made 1000 ACDC LE's resale value on the game would be much less then what it is today.