Quoted from thedefog:Nothing lasts forever. I'd love the current popularity to continue, I think we'll see a few more years, maybe 5 or so, then its just be the hardcore remaining. This mini flash is mainly due to 30-somethings like me having the money to finally grab these games and relive some of their childhood, which has allowed older collectors to sell them at a little bit of a premium to fund nib purchases. I see myself owning games for the rest of my life at this point, but I can see it being a fad for other people my age, they'll get bored of them and want to dump them if suddenly prices tank on them.
In 2007 Pat Lawlor also called for the demise of pinball manufacturing in 5 years, yet here we are 6-7 years later with a much healthier industry that didn't need the technological advances he thought were necessary. I see quite a bit of enthusiasm from age groups well into their 60's, so if the latest surge is only due to 30-somethings, your 5 year prediction is probably off by quite a bit as well. It's a fad that has been going on for decades, but there is some truth in what both of you have said.