Quoted from Banker:When the enonomy changes , which history proves it cycles , much of the current discretionary spending will stop.
I have read your economist type posts on this matter before, and for the most part agree and believe they are very well founded, but I'm not so sure about the above as it relates specifically to pinball.
We have seen the largest growth and demand in this hobby, during and just coming out of a recession. This is a small, niche hobby/business, but did anything else in any market new/used increase more in this time period? For most markets maintaining value/business was a lucky break.
My belief on this is there is no where near the supply for the demand, and so much so that in fact I think there is WAY more demand that most believe or would accept.
For example to illustrate this, who here has some pinball machine they want, and if the right machine/*realistic deal* came up right now, you have the money in hand to buy it and would make it happen? I would, a few times over, and I bet the majority of you would too. That is a lot of money just sitting there waiting.
The recession of course led to many having to downsize or liquidate, which we witnessed in some posts unfortunately, but the majority of the masses were still in a position to buy, and given the extremely high demand of these machines, had no problem eating up whatever came onto the market.
Until pinball plummets out of popularity (that's a whole other discussion, but something I do not think will happen as fast as others do given many, many in their 20s being collectors who never played in arcades as some of us did), it is still well regarded *on average* that the better machines came from the wpc era, and with no new supply, and the current supply dwindling, this really fuels the demand. What were some of these B, C and D titles worth about 3-4 years ago...? Where do you forecast that in another 3-4 years - locked in where they are now? Not a chance.
I think this hobby is at the far range of being challenged by large scale financial issues.