Quoted from rubberducks:Regardless of what order they come in, JJP sure as hell better be able to crank up speed of production. Something they look like they struggled with on both DI and PotC. Then they will also need to maintain quality and quality assurance.
It'll be a disaster if they release 2 machines in 2019, and they're still only capable of producing at current cadence. Or they build much faster but ship with many issues.
2 new titles, plus WOZ YBR, plus residual demand for DI and PotC ... people would end up waiting literally years, and give up, with existing rate of production.
More like JJP will need to handle the demands for orders of almost the entire POTC run, plus residual orders on WOZ / DI / TH plus surge demand on 2 new pins. I'll admit that until I just said it, the parts sounded feasible, strung together the plan sounds preposterous.
my 2018 estimate - 500 WOZ, 500 DI, 500 Hobbit & 500 POTC = 2k pins.
my 2019 estimate - 250 WOZ, 250 DI, 500 Hobbit, 1,500 POTC, 1,000 Wonka & 500 GNR = 4k pins.
Quoted from rubberducks:The big hurdle to me is production numbers or capacity. Jack used to consistently say they could do over 4000 units a year at their facility. I don't think they ever did, and waiting times got pretty long for DI and PotC. Ultimately it's cost them a lot of sales, I suspect.
2 new titles and YBR and additional PotCs and DIs to build this year would be impossible on past form. But maybe they can fix that. Bit sceptical without an expansion of their existing facility, or a new one (there was a rumour related to that a while ago).
2018 deliveries occurred in a very disjointed manner, probably due to various manufacturing issues. So next year JJP will increase output by 100%, including the hiring and ramping up of manufacturing staff, continue producing their new POTC, add 2 undefined titles with new unknowns and hurdles. This is a great goal to have but chances of JJP shipping any of their 2nd new pin (whether it is GNR or not) is 0.000000000%.
JJP is incapable of producing a second new pin in 2019 period. If they can accomplish everything else though, it would be their most successful year ever and could be their first to turn a profit. Jack said they will produce 2 new games in 2019, because he believes it. My understanding of JJP and allowing for a metamorphosis of their manufacturing process tells me it won't happen. Grab your hats, 2019 will be a heck of a ride.