There are more issues involved right now in the market than GBLE "Pre-Order Resale Resales".
Price speculation has been around for years by distributors buying for stock, but not private owners, which makes this situation a little unique now.
Attaching the letters "LE" to any game is not a guarantee of "pinball investment speculation success" anyway, its foolhardy.
There are more examples of Stern LE mediocracy than successes, Tron was an anomaly.
It does not always work, and buyers get burned, if they are buying for the wrong reasons instead of FUN!
If an owner does not have a game in his hands, and another buys "the slot" they are even more foolhardy.
NOBODY for example has tested a GBLE or Premium, unless directed connected through Stern or sample games.
If an owner want to keep their game in the box for a "rainy day", that is their prerogative, I prefer to invest in the stock market, not pinball machines.
History is repeating itself for most than are understanding of involvement in the hobby before Williams closed its doors in 1999.
A secondary market stall (not a collapse bubble) will occur in less than 5 years, due to a decrease of overall pinball owners again for those that want later model SS machines, not very early SS or EMs.
People are going to feel pretty stupid in the long run, but until then distributors, brokers, and dealers, and individual "preowner resellers" are capitalizing accordingly on new owner ignorance.
Especially, if they take the game out of the box, and don't try and "flip it" by keeping the original box, and then trying to sell it "NIB equivalency" again (which happens), hence the development of new pinball jargon, "new out of box" methodology, if the owner is even honest.
No one is being "had", just blinded to directions of the industry price testing driven not by owners but by only a few specific industry controllers, who are trying to get income before the next drought.
Stern did not survive the industry by being stupid, they are just acting in response to "feeding the monster".
JJP opened their eyes to how much they could charge, and people would still buy games, for now...
Most of the older collectors just watch and laugh, as we have seen this in the past.
Secondary manufacturers are going to have a hard time maintaining production.
JJP already floundered once by overreaching their limits, and almost took a U-boat dive.
A fair number of buyers backed out of sales, and reimbursed their TH pre-orders based on economy inflation to recoup their down payment because they could not afford the final cost of the machine, especially overseas orders.
Prices will rise until the limit of the economy and wallets are empty, then it settle, deflate, and start again.
Once base "premium" (not LE) games hit the MRSP of $10k USD in the next two years, sales are going to tank fast, production will cease, reruns will cease, and the number of titles will begin to slow down again.
Overseas that translates over $16-18k NIB games, which is not "chump change" for many collectors.
LOTR would NEVER have sold as well as it did, if the base cost was $7000.
Used games of high quality already dried up years ago from Bally/Williams/Capcom, unless you are willing to fork over $$$, which even for "B Titles" constitutes between $2000-5000.
"C Titles" are running around $1500 and rising.
"Top 10" machines generally keep their value steady.
"Let the pinball freight train continue."
Choo Choo.
I have been on the ride since when it was a steam engine locomotive.
The bigger question is how many others will get off at the next stop?