OK looking over my spreadsheet, here are some observations. Keep in mind, this is a limited number of machines from the first go-round, which were various ones I had an interest in. I tracked 32 total.
My pre-auction final cost was based on what I thought I could get the same machine for if it were to pop up on Pinside. Then I backed out from there with the costs to get what would be my max bid price. Its not entirely realistic as I do think you need to go ahead and add a bit extra to account for the fact that this is an auction. But, its just numbers for fun.
Now looking through the numbers, and sorting them based on the overall difference between what I would have liked to pay and what the final cost was:
What items were somewhat reasonable? (HEY! I also just realized for the first time, you can copy cells from an Excel sheet and paste them into the discussion, and it makes a nice image like this)
pasted_imageGottlieb Surfer $2,592 $3,200 $3,200 $3,951 123% Gottlieb Atlantis $2,025 $2,500 $2,500 $3,086 123% Bally Fathom $4,
I think these 4, Surfer, Atlantis, Fathom, and Seawitch, were actually pretty reasonable. Only about 1/3 more than what I would have like to pay. Looking at Surfer, I thought a final cost of $3,200 would be reasonable (which would be a bid of $2,592). It hammered at $3,200 for a final cost of $3,951, which is 123% higher than my goal. The numbers are similar for the other 3.
I think I would have been somewhat satisfied if I had gotten any of theses for those prices. These are all nice machines (well IMO anyway). Of course, condition plays a role. I played all of these at MOP, but I never knew that this was coming, so I didn't take notes. But as I can remember, these all were in decent players conditions.
Going down my list, most machines sold for double-to-triple what my goal price was, as we all know.
How about the other end. Which machines were the HIGHEST price, relative to my guesses?
Well, the worst one of all is Monte Carlo, which I own.
pasted_imageBally Monte Carlo $405 $500 $2,500 $3,086 617% (resized).png
If this is the same Monte Carlo that was on the floor at MOP, I did play it a number of times and compared it to mine. It was OK and it worked, but nothing fancy. The usual cabinet and playfield wear if I recall correctly. I don't think MC is much more than a $500 machine. (Maybe if the playfield were excellent then it might approach $1,000). It sold for $2,500 hammer or $3,086 out the door. Sheesh, that seems a bit nutty. That is 6 times greater than my projection!
Here are the ones that exceeded 400%, or 4 times my projected final cost:
pasted_imageBally Mata Hari No Inscription $972 $1,200 $4,200 $5,185 432% Bally Fireball $2,025 $2,500 $9,000 $11,111 444% Bally
All classic Ballys, interestingly. Nice, desirable machines, but those prices seem a bit extreme.