Okay, IMNotNorm, Manny65, and Completist, it took a village but the problem is solved. With all due respect to stomach knotting, in the end it was indeed "fun" and I was glad for all of the diagnostics advice and confirmation of the somewhat stumbling approach I was taking. Indeed, it was the "I" target and Manny was correct--pressing "I" and N" (combined with the Always Closed switch in the matrix) did trigger the coin door closed switch briefly in switch test mode. I spent a few hours today troubleshooting, including removing the cliffy protector on the scoop to be sure it wasn't interfering, checking the connections on the coin door interface, putting the balls in the trough during switch test to be sure all the optos were working correctly, and even reinstalling the old target. But in the end it was IMNotNorm's solution that was correct. I desoldered everything on the new "I" target, then cleaned all of my solder points, stripped the insulation off to get fresh wire ends, and started over. Once I resoldered everything, including the diode, and reinstalled the target then all was well. Part of me wishes I had started with that, and I still wonder if the original target had a leaky diode, but the fact is I learned a lot through the process, and my better understanding of the switch matrix and the square/rectangle box short diagnosis is a great lesson.
And, for a change, Lloyd didn't even have to chime in on this one!
On a related note, on this same AFM I recently replaced the center ramp switch, which definitely had a bad diode, which caused a beneficial malfunction during multiball, awarding both the center ramp and the right ramp simultaneously. Again, the switch matrix and input from pinsiders helped me figure that out. So my bulb is still dim, but it's finally starting to glow.
Very grateful for this group and this fix, in that the AFM is routed and popular, so it's nice to know that the faithful flippers won't be getting inexplicable slam tilts any longer. Thank you pinside!