So, I checked the bulb and sure enough it was black and definitely dead. I ordered a replacement/upgrade from Pinbits, put it in this morning and… nothing.
Pulled the strobe board off the back (which I probably should have done to begin with anyway) and found that the 100v capacitor which is supposed to be at C1 completely missing (see pic). Wasn't in the cabinet, wasn't in the metal cover over the board. Just gone.
https://dl.dropbox.com/u/2953140/afm_strobe_board.jpeg
Also a friend pointed me towards this article which indicates that the 100uF 100v capacitors are non-polar and not as easy to find as one might think. http://kcpins.com/archives/63
I have a few options now I suppose.
1) Try to find a couple of capacitors to rig up like the kcpins article indicates (probably cheapest).
2) Order the Pinbits repair parts kit (since it's still possible something else may be broken).
3) Just send the whole board to Coin-op Cauldron (most expensive, longest wait but surest solution for a fixed board).
Opinions? Thanks!